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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miki Sudo | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | — |
| Michelle Lesco | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Domenica Dee | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Tandra Childress | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Katie Prettyman | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Larell Marie Mele | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Rene Rovtar | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Cherish Brown | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Camille O'Brien | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Semora Kludy | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Lainey Eaton | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Lauren Pace-Fraunfelter | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111d | Trustinghorse | Semora Kludy | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,290 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 111d | Trustinghorse | Cherish Brown | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,290 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 111d | Trustinghorse | Lauren Pace-Fraunfelter | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,290 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 112d | janglinjack | Michelle Lesco | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,202 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed participant finishes first in the final result of the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the participant officially recognized by Major League Eating as finishing in first place. If multiple participants are officially awarded first place, the market will resolve to the participant whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed participant to finish first in the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest is cancelled, postponed after July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no first place participant declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Miki Sudo means the market gives it about 100%.