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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread -14.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Heat vs. Thunder | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 233.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 234.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 232.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 235.5 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 231.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% | −100 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Assists O/U 3.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Assists O/U 2.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 0% | −100 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Points O/U 17.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Points O/U 12.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Assists O/U 6.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Assists O/U 6.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Assists O/U 2.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Points O/U 14.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Points O/U 30.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Points O/U 21.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Points O/U 11.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Points O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rebounds O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Assists O/U 5.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Assists O/U 3.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Assists O/U 2.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Points O/U 12.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Assists O/U 2.5 | 100% | −49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Points O/U 17.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Points O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 285d | tcp2 | Heat vs. Thunder | SellThunder>99¢ | $1,478 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 285d | Old-Monk2 fills | Heat vs. Thunder | SellThunder93¢ → 100¢ | $6,893 | −$508 −7.4% | — |
| 285d | Psycho0path | Heat vs. Thunder | SellThunder>99¢ | $2,143 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 285d | Back2GRT | Heat vs. Thunder | SellThunder>99¢ | $1,921 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 285d |  hello123123 | Heat vs. Thunder | SellThunder>99¢ | $1,781 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 285d | edseah | Heat vs. Thunder | SellThunder>99¢ | $6,095 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 285d | Idle-AdultNew account | Heat vs. Thunder | SellThunder>99¢ | $9,791 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 285d | wangg | Heat vs. Thunder | SellThunder>99¢ | $2,031 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 285d | itsvini | Spread -13.5 | SellHeat>99¢ | $1,299 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 285d |  STAYCALM | Spread -14.5 | SellHeat>99¢ | $1,390 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 285d | STAYCALM | Spread -14.5 | BuyHeat96¢ → 100¢ | $1,330 | +$61 +4.6% | 4 |
| 285d |  RM4 | Heat vs. Thunder | SellThunder>99¢ | $2,358 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 285d | edseah | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder>99¢ | $3,741 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 285d | 0jku | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder>99¢ | $1,081 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 285d | 131421.eth | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 285d |  KlayGuo888 | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder>99¢ | $1,765 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 285d | BetMechanic | Spread -15.5 | BuyThunder55¢ → 0¢ | $1,170 | −$1,170 −100% | 4 |
| 285d | Glorp69 | Heat vs. Thunder | SellThunder99¢ → 100¢ | $12,937 | −$131 −1.0% | — |
| 285d | Idle-AdultNew account | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder99¢ → 100¢ | $9,736 | +$65 +0.7% | 4 |
| 285d | WWDC | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder99¢ → 100¢ | $2,471 | +$25 +1.0% | 4 |
| 285d | qzzzzzzz | Heat vs. Thunder | SellThunder95¢ → 100¢ | $1,255 | −$62 −5.0% | — |
| 285d | RM4 | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder94¢ → 100¢ | $2,212 | +$148 +6.7% | 4 |
| 285d |  martysupreme3 fills | O/U 233.5 | BuyOver56¢ → 100¢ | $8,460 | +$6,540 +77% | 14 |
| 285d | Gladius7 | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder94¢ → 100¢ | $1,776 | +$115 +6.5% | 4 |
| 285d | swisstony | Spread -13.5 | BuyHeat51¢ → 100¢ | $1,736 | +$1,668 +96% | 4 |
| 285d | howboutthemcookies | Spread -14.5 | BuyHeat50¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | +$1,395 +100% | 4 |
| 285d | BetMechanic3 fills | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder93¢ → 100¢ | $27,636 | +$1,931 +7.0% | 4 |
| 285d | ulos8 fills | Heat vs. Thunder | SellThunder81¢ → 100¢ | $19,805 | −$4,505 −23% | — |
| 285d | ulos12 fills | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder84¢ → 100¢ | $19,740 | +$3,875 +20% | 4 |
| 285d | eanvanezygv | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder82¢ → 100¢ | $1,640 | +$360 +22% | 4 |
| 285d | Schlitzi | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder78¢ → 100¢ | $2,105 | +$595 +28% | 4 |
| 285d | Back2GRT | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder74¢ → 100¢ | $1,417 | +$506 +36% | 4 |
| 285d | cmdefi | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder63¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,797 +60% | 4 |
| 285d | 1A7rL3kEiFqJ9uX7PcG2DZmYLMoHuKP2fx2 fills | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder65¢ → 100¢ | $3,148 | +$1,713 +54% | 4 |
| 285d |  suonkute | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder73¢ → 100¢ | $1,460 | +$540 +37% | 4 |
| 285d | hornetsfan | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder72¢ → 100¢ | $1,872 | +$728 +39% | 4 |
| 285d | Glorp692 fills | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder74¢ → 100¢ | $9,680 | +$3,388 +35% | 4 |
| 285d | qwerkk | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder74¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$738 +35% | 4 |
| 285d | gmanas | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyHeat24¢ → 0¢ | $12,203 | −$12,203 −100% | 4 |
| 285d | 432614799197 | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyHeat24¢ → 0¢ | $1,854 | −$1,854 −100% | 4 |
| 285d |  GamblingIsAllYouNeed | Heat vs. Thunder | SellThunder76¢ → 100¢ | $1,640 | −$518 −32% | — |
| 285d | JackBlack777 | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyHeat28¢ → 0¢ | $1,955 | −$1,955 −100% | 4 |
| 285d |  mxapnqkr | Heat vs. Thunder | SellThunder80¢ → 100¢ | $1,870 | −$467 −25% | — |
| 285d | NUTBUSTER42069 | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyHeat25¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 285d | cmdefi | Heat vs. Thunder | SellHeat16¢ → 0¢ | $3,211 | +$3,211 +100% | — |
| 285d | Immaculate-Misunderstand | Heat vs. Thunder | SellHeat19¢ → 0¢ | $1,277 | +$1,277 +100% | — |
| 285d | gannonallison | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder83¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$348 +20% | 4 |
| 285d | Old-Monk2 fills | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder82¢ → 100¢ | $3,557 | +$804 +23% | 4 |
| 285d | swisstony | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder79¢ → 100¢ | $1,511 | +$402 +27% | 4 |
| 285d | THEHIGHLIFE | Spread -14.5 | BuyHeat50¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,500 +100% | 4 |
| 285d | gmanas2 fills | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder86¢ → 100¢ | $221,284 | +$36,023 +16% | 9 |
| 285d | ommyWilliams | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder86¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$210 +16% | 4 |
| 285d | qzzzzzzz | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyThunder86¢ → 100¢ | $1,133 | +$184 +16% | 4 |
| 285d |  JohnLeftman2 fills | Spread -14.5 | BuyThunder50¢ → 0¢ | $4,405 | −$4,405 −100% | 14 |
| 285d | vjnn | Heat vs. Thunder | BuyHeat15¢ → 0¢ | $2,970 | −$2,970 −100% | 4 |
| 285d |  WienerProcess2 fills | Spread -14.5 | BuyThunder51¢ → 0¢ | $2,040 | −$2,040 −100% | 4 |
| 285d |  BLACKBET | Heat vs. Thunder | SellHeat14¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | +$1,400 +100% | — |
| 285d | nkolbet51 | O/U 235.5 | BuyOver47¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$1,218 +113% | 14 |
| 285d |  Purebet | Spread -14.5 | BuyThunder50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 285d | beachboy46 fills | Spread -14.5 | BuyHeat51¢ → 100¢ | $547,615 | +$528K +96% | 14 |
WienerProcess4,000 sharesIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 11 at 7:00PM ET: If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Spread -14.5 means the market gives it about 0%.