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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Heat | 0% | −76 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 233.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 234.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 235.5 | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 100% | −53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 18.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% | −27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 13.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 100% | −50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alex Caruso: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 16.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 5.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jalen Williams: Points O/U 18.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 7.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cason Wallace: Points O/U 6.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 20.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 17.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alex Caruso: Points O/U 5.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Norman Powell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 278d | vnkfylta | Thunder vs. Heat | SellHeat>99¢ | $17,903 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 278d |  Hugewinner | Thunder vs. Heat | SellHeat>99¢ | $1,366 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 278d | Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Thunder vs. Heat | SellHeat>99¢ | $10,140 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 278d | 7917zx | Spread -10.5 | SellHeat>99¢ | $1,119 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 279d |  Aespafans | Thunder vs. Heat | SellHeat>99¢ | $14,532 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 279d |  Rex416 | Thunder vs. Heat | SellHeat>99¢ | $2,298 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 279d | Xiao2502 | Thunder vs. Heat | SellHeat>99¢ | $1,020 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 279d |  uuu3456 | Thunder vs. Heat | SellHeat>99¢ | $1,404 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 279d | Creative-Broom | Thunder vs. Heat | SellHeat>99¢ | $7,347 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 279d |  ka-wa-wa | Thunder vs. Heat | SellHeat>99¢ | $6,435 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 279d | GuyInCognito | Thunder vs. Heat | SellHeat>99¢ | $2,267 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 279d | bbaabaabababab | Thunder vs. Heat | SellHeat>99¢ | $2,550 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 279d |  REDVAELL | Thunder vs. Heat | SellHeat>99¢ | $9,082 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 279d | madkkee | Thunder vs. Heat | SellHeat99¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 279d |  Countrysid | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyHeat99¢ → 100¢ | $16,783 | +$179 +1.1% | 4 |
| 279d | gmanas | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyHeat91¢ → 100¢ | $2,158 | +$212 +9.8% | 4 |
| 279d | bbaabaabababab | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyHeat88¢ → 100¢ | $2,030 | +$267 +13% | 4 |
| 279d | GuyInCognito | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyHeat88¢ → 100¢ | $1,995 | +$274 +14% | 4 |
| 279d | 0xcdb8…abbe | Thunder vs. Heat | SellHeat84¢ → 100¢ | $1,501 | −$282 −19% | — |
| 279d | Creative-Broom | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyHeat68¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$2,354 +47% | 7 |
| 279d | tcp2 | O/U 234.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 279d | BetMechanic3 fills | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyThunder69¢ → 0¢ | $8,139 | −$8,139 −100% | 4 |
| 279d | double6 | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyThunder63¢ → 0¢ | $1,001 | −$1,001 −100% | 4 |
| 279d |  BitToon | O/U 234.5 | BuyOver97¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | +$45 +3.1% | 4 |
| 279d | wklndiu3 | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyThunder61¢ → 0¢ | $1,476 | −$1,476 −100% | 4 |
| 279d |  sajhgewn | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyHeat38¢ → 100¢ | $1,254 | +$2,046 +163% | 4 |
| 279d | sajhgewn3 fills | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyThunder73¢ → 0¢ | $5,786 | −$5,786 −100% | 4 |
| 279d | eanvanezygv | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyThunder68¢ → 0¢ | $1,364 | −$1,364 −100% | 4 |
| 279d | bbaabaabababab | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyThunder79¢ → 0¢ | $2,228 | −$2,228 −100% | 4 |
| 279d | Creative-Broom | Thunder vs. Heat | SellThunder76¢ → 0¢ | $2,343 | +$2,343 +100% | — |
| 279d |  FrancisAnthony | Thunder vs. Heat | SellThunder71¢ → 0¢ | $1,568 | +$1,568 +100% | — |
| 279d | 4326147991972 fills | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyThunder65¢ → 0¢ | $6,099 | −$6,099 −100% | 4 |
| 279d | gadjo95 | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyThunder71¢ → 0¢ | $2,798 | −$2,798 −100% | 4 |
| 279d | ulos17 fills | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyThunder78¢ → 0¢ | $19,775 | −$19,775 −100% | 4 |
| 279d | ulos10 fills | Thunder vs. Heat | SellThunder77¢ → 0¢ | $22,128 | +$22,128 +100% | — |
| 279d | Exterminatormoney | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyHeat25¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$5,946 +297% | 4 |
| 279d | Momentumtrades | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyThunder78¢ → 0¢ | $2,379 | −$2,379 −100% | 4 |
| 279d | Other-EyeNew account | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyHeat35¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | +$2,000 +186% | 13 |
| 279d | Other-EyeNew account | Thunder vs. Heat | SellThunder70¢ → 0¢ | $1,697 | +$1,697 +100% | — |
| 279d | Creative-Broom | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyThunder73¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 7 |
| 279d |  3f1080F86e8624206766BcA31C44ea4f0Dda76b3 | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyThunder79¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 4 |
| 279d | Aespafans | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyHeat27¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$10,547 +264% | 4 |
| 279d | Excitable-SerialNew account | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyThunder78¢ → 0¢ | $1,980 | −$1,980 −100% | 11 |
| 279d | swy01 | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyThunder78¢ → 0¢ | $1,331 | −$1,331 −100% | 4 |
| 279d | knedloveprovelo | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyThunder70¢ → 0¢ | $1,797 | −$1,797 −100% | 4 |
| 279d | leechan16888 | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyHeat32¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$2,125 +213% | 4 |
| 279d | Excitable-SerialNew account | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyHeat40¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$2,228 +150% | 13 |
| 279d | hiyabyeya | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyThunder68¢ → 0¢ | $1,941 | −$1,941 −100% | 4 |
| 279d | knedloveprovelo | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyHeat27¢ → 100¢ | $1,529 | +$4,134 +270% | 4 |
| 279d | sajhgewn | Thunder vs. Heat | SellThunder73¢ → 0¢ | $2,836 | +$2,836 +100% | — |
| 279d |  Qulang5552 fills | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyThunder74¢ → 0¢ | $5,950 | −$5,950 −100% | 4 |
| 279d | tradingl | Spread -8.5 | BuyHeat56¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$947 +79% | 4 |
| 279d | BetMechanic | Spread -9.5 | BuyHeat50¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$2,500 +100% | 4 |
| 279d | 0xca0c…9c40 | Thunder vs. Heat | SellThunder73¢ → 0¢ | $1,206 | +$1,206 +100% | — |
| 279d |  GamblingIsAllYouNeed | Thunder vs. Heat | SellThunder81¢ → 0¢ | $1,949 | +$1,949 +100% | — |
| 279d | Benutzer | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyThunder83¢ → 0¢ | $2,490 | −$2,490 −100% | 4 |
| 279d | defbank7 fills | Thunder vs. Heat | BuyThunder86¢ → 0¢ | $20,455 | −$20,455 −100% | 8 |
| 279d | Gonzoz69 | Thunder vs. Heat | SellThunder86¢ → 0¢ | $1,062 | +$1,062 +100% | — |
| 279d | swisstony | Spread -9.5 | BuyThunder59¢ → 0¢ | $1,076 | −$1,076 −100% | 4 |
| 279d | BetMechanic2 fills | Spread -9.5 | BuyThunder58¢ → 0¢ | $4,450 | −$4,450 −100% | 4 |
DLEK82,664 sharesIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 17 at 8:00PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Thunder vs. Heat means the market gives it about 0%.