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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEC | 35% | −2 pts | −9 pts | 33¢ · 37¢ (4¢) | — | — |
| Big Ten | 29% | −1 pts | — | 28¢ · 30¢ (2¢) | — | — |
| FBS Independents | 16% | +8 pts | −13 pts | 1¢ · 30¢ (29¢) | — | — |
| Pac-12 | 15% | +7 pts | +2 pts | — · 29¢ | — | — |
| ACC | 12% | — | +2 pts | 10¢ · 14¢ (4¢) | — | — |
| Mountain West | 8% | — | −7 pts | <1¢ · 15¢ (15¢) | — | — |
| American | 7% | +1 pts | −5 pts | — · 15¢ | — | — |
| Big 12 | 5% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 2¢ · 8¢ (6¢) | — | — |
| Conference USA | 3% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 6¢ (6¢) | — | — |
| Sun Belt | 3% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 6¢ (6¢) | — | — |
| Mid-American | 2% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | — | — |
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This market resolves according to the conference affiliation of the team that wins the College Football Playoff National Championship for the 2026-27 season. The outcome corresponding to the conference of the championship-winning team will resolve "Yes"; all other outcomes will resolve "No". A team's conference is its official conference affiliation for football during the 2026-27 season, as recognized by the NCAA and the College Football Playoff. If the College Football Playoff National Championship for the 2026-27 season is canceled or not played such that no champion is crowned, this market will resolve "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com) and the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 35¢ for SEC means the market gives it about 35%.