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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $200M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| $20M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| $50M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| $100M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| $300M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| $500M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 224d |  The-Joker | $50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,764 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 224d | The-Joker | $20M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,021 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 224d |  Infringe | $20M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,566 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 224d | lichenglicheng | $200M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,003 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 225d |  EleveResearch | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,906 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | sjfuw | $300M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,377 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 225d | lichenglicheng | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d |  maoziz | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,654 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | kkdsj2 fills | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | lichenglicheng | $300M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,305 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | kkdsj | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,295 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | 168168168168 | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,397 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 225d | 168168168168 | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,247 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
wendypeekaboo100 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Nebula3's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Nebula3 (https://x.com/Nebula3_GameFi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $200M means the market gives it about 0%.