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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $300M | 26% | +5 pts | +18 pts | 11¢ · 40¢ (29¢) | $130 | in 434d |
| $50M | 16% | +1 pts | −3 pts | 13¢ · 19¢ (6¢) | $6.65 | in 434d |
| $200M | 16% | +2 pts | +9 pts | 10¢ · 21¢ (11¢) | $93 | in 434d |
| $20M | 15% | +3 pts | −2 pts | 8¢ · 23¢ (14¢) | — | in 434d |
| $100M | 14% | +2 pts | +1 pts | 9¢ · 18¢ (9¢) | $70 | in 434d |
| $700M | 7% | — | +5 pts | 2¢ · 12¢ (10¢) | — | in 434d |
| $1B | 4% | 0 pts | +2 pts | 2¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | — | in 434d |
| $500M | 4% | — | +1 pts | 2¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | — | in 434d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119d | Odd-Relish | $200M | BuyNo68¢ → 85¢ | $1,048 | +$261 +25% | 7 |
Dr.PNL18 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Neutrl's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Neutrl (https://x.com/Neutrl) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 26¢ for $300M means the market gives it about 26%.