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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
On May 22, 2024, Norway, Ireland, and Spain announced that they plan to formally recognize a Palestinian state on May 28. Several other EU member states have announced intentions to recognize a Palestinian state in the future. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of any EU country that has not previously done so, besides Spain and Ireland, formally recognizes a Palestinian state by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Only a government's formal recognition of a Palestinian state will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of any relevant state, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.