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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −72 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 483d |  lil-uzi-squirt2 fills | New Orleans escape mastermind last man standing? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,837 | +$18 +0.2% | 4 |
| 509d | Olyrix | New Orleans escape mastermind last man standing? | SellNo33¢ → 100¢ | $12,014 | −$24,392 −203% | — |
| 509d | Ertoma | New Orleans escape mastermind last man standing? | BuyYes66¢ → 0¢ | $24,030 | −$24,030 −100% | 4 |
On Friday, May 16, ten inmates escaped from a jail in New Orleans. Eight have since been captured, however two remain at large, including the alleged mastermind, Antoine Massey. https://edition.cnn.com/2025/05/27/us/new-orleans-escape-massey-groves-hnk This market will resolve to "Yes" if Antoine Massey remains the last of the ten New Orleans escapees free from the physical custody of any law enforcement agency. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Massey is caught at the same time as the other remaining escapee, this market will resolve to "No". If neither Massey nor the other remaining escaped inmate are captured by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government authorities.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.