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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5m–20m | 100% | +57 pts | +60 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <17.5m | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20m–22.5m | 0% | −34 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 22.5m–25m | 0% | −25 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25m–27.5m | 0% | −7 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 27.5m+ | 0% | −50 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
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This market will resolve according to the total number of viewers Nielsen reports the 2025-2026 edition of Dick Clark’s New Year's Rockin’ Eve with Ryan Seacrest as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the 2025-2026 edition of Dick Clark’s New Year's Rockin’ Eve with Ryan Seacrest may also be used. If Dick Clark’s New Year's Rockin’ Eve with Ryan Seacrest takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the show within 10 days, another credible source may be chosen.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 17.5m–20m means the market gives it about 100%.