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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 100% | +92 pts | +92 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Martine Rose | 0% | −35 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pieter Mullier | 0% | −25 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John Galliano | 0% | −25 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stefano Cangiano | 0% | −25 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ricardo Tisci | 0% | −25 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luke and/or Lucie Meier | 0% | −25 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is officially announced as the successor to Demna as Creative Director of Balenciaga. If no individual is officially announced as the successor to Demna as Creative Director of Balenciaga by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. If someone who isn’t listed in this market is announced as the successor to Demna as Creative Director of Balenciaga, this market will resolve to "Other". An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next Creative Director of Balenciaga. If multiple individuals are named as co-creative directors, this market will resolve to the listed option. If multiple listed options are named as co-creative directors, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source will be public statements from Balenciaga.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Other means the market gives it about 100%.