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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 682d | 3r3rsdfs | Next Ethereum hard fork live by end of 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$32 +3.2% | 2 |
| 715d |  LBZcapital3 fills | Next Ethereum hard fork live by end of 2024? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,521 | +$442 +6.8% | 2 |
| 766d | LBZcapital | Next Ethereum hard fork live by end of 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,808 | −$82 −4.5% | — |
Shwig48 sharesIf an Ethereum hard fork occurs between June 6 and December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Ethereum blockchain, which can be explored here: https://etherscan.io
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.