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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kemi Badenoch | 100% | +10 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Suella Braverman | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| James Cleverly | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Robert Jenrick | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jeremy Hunt | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Priti Patel | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tom Tugendhat | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| David Cameron | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nigel Farage | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 721d |  Car3 fills | Kemi Badenoch | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,991 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 721d | riestainis | Kemi Badenoch | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 721d |  carp | Kemi Badenoch | BuyYes>99¢ | $46,385 | +$46 +0.1% | 4 |
| 721d |  aenews2 | Suella Braverman | BuyNo>99¢ | $44,955 | +$45 +0.1% | 4 |
| 721d |  redbloodzcell4 fills | Tom Tugendhat | BuyNo>99¢ | $63,936 | +$64 +0.1% | 4 |
| 721d | redbloodzcell2 fills | Kemi Badenoch | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $19,362 | −$1,408 −7.3% | — |
| 721d |  JJo | Kemi Badenoch | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,420 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 721d | rpo | Kemi Badenoch | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,146 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 721d | Car | Tom Tugendhat | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 721d | Car | Suella Braverman | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 721d |  XiJinPing-478 | Kemi Badenoch | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,424 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 721d |  exit-liqudity | Kemi Badenoch | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,991 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 721d |  Wickier | Robert Jenrick | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,434 | +$12 +0.8% | 4 |
| 721d | Wickier | Kemi Badenoch | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,347 | +$71 +5.3% | 4 |
| 721d |  Gemini456 | Nigel Farage | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,302 | +$20 +0.1% | 4 |
| 721d | redbloodzcell3 fills | David Cameron | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,063 | +$59 +0.4% | 4 |
| 721d | redbloodzcell3 fills | Suella Braverman | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,136 | +$78 +0.5% | 4 |
| 721d |  rewrewrewr | Nigel Farage | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,262 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 722d | 91stamponit4 fills | Jeremy Hunt | SellNo>99¢ | $4,913 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 722d | 91stamponit4 fills | Jeremy Hunt | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,918 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 722d | happines3 fills | Jeremy Hunt | SellNo>99¢ | $4,461 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 722d | happines3 fills | Jeremy Hunt | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,465 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 722d | Parsimo | Suella Braverman | SellNo>99¢ | $1,337 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 722d | Parsimo | Suella Braverman | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,338 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 722d | bampizO3 fills | Suella Braverman | SellNo>99¢ | $3,929 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 722d | bampizO3 fills | Suella Braverman | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,933 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 722d | KingaOtta2 fills | Kemi Badenoch | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $4,627 | −$886 −19% | — |
| 722d | Pmmmw | Suella Braverman | SellNo>99¢ | $3,576 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 722d | Pmmmw | Suella Braverman | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,579 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 722d | Pmmmw | Tom Tugendhat | SellNo>99¢ | $3,580 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 722d | Pmmmw | Tom Tugendhat | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,583 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 724d | nelbal8486 | Robert Jenrick | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,753 | +$247 +14% | 4 |
| 725d | bgfgng | David Cameron | SellNo>99¢ | $1,497 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 725d | bgfgng | David Cameron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 725d | gdhbcbv | David Cameron | SellNo>99¢ | $1,497 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 725d | gdhbcbv | David Cameron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 725d | jhjkghdgs | David Cameron | SellNo>99¢ | $1,497 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 725d | jhjkghdgs | David Cameron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 725d | shdeyhd | David Cameron | SellNo>99¢ | $1,497 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 725d | shdeyhd | David Cameron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 725d | diaoyul | David Cameron | SellNo>99¢ | $1,497 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 725d | diaoyul | David Cameron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 725d | fendaob | Jeremy Hunt | SellNo>99¢ | $1,497 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 725d | fendaob | Jeremy Hunt | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 727d | Guarirapa | Suella Braverman | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,133 | −$170 −5.4% | — |
| 727d | Guarirapa | Suella Braverman | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,299 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 728d | caaixin | Nigel Farage | SellNo>99¢ | $1,079 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 728d | caaixin | Nigel Farage | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,080 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 728d | dhjfurv | Nigel Farage | SellNo>99¢ | $1,079 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 728d | dhjfurv | Nigel Farage | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,080 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 728d | jojuyt | Nigel Farage | SellNo>99¢ | $1,079 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 728d | jojuyt | Nigel Farage | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,080 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 728d | dcjdhvb | Nigel Farage | SellNo>99¢ | $1,079 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 728d | dcjdhvb | Nigel Farage | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,080 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 735d | fdjhjkci | David Cameron | SellNo>99¢ | $1,129 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 735d | fdjhjkci | David Cameron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,130 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 735d | dhvfvb | David Cameron | SellNo>99¢ | $1,128 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 735d | dhvfvb | David Cameron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,130 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 735d | dchfgdy | David Cameron | SellNo>99¢ | $1,129 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 735d | dchfgdy | David Cameron | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,130 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
This is a market on who will be the next leader of the Conservative Party in the UK.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Kemi Badenoch means the market gives it about 100%.