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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No next Transport Secretary in 2026 | 100% | +53 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 68d |
| Louise Haigh | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Anneliese Midgley | 0% | −12 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Sally Jameson | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Ed Miliband | 0% | −5 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Lisa Nandy | 0% | −9 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Dan Jarvis | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Darren Jones | 0% | −25 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95d |  C6H6 | Dan Jarvis | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,185 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 95d |  AgricultureSecretary | No next Transport Secretary in 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,326 | +$24 +1.0% | 4 |
| 95d |  Hakei. | No next Transport Secretary in 2026 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | +$74 +6.3% | 4 |
| 95d |  Eire | No next Transport Secretary in 2026 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$199 +7.4% | 4 |
irishwolf33 sharesThis market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Secretary of State for Transport of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Secretary of State for Transport will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary of State for Transport is appointed, or Heidi Alexander is re-appointed as Secretary of State for Transport, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Transport Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No next Transport Secretary in 2026 means the market gives it about 100%.