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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bears vs. Commanders | 100% | +68 pts | +67 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 50.5 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 49.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 375d |  antman-batman-superman-lakers-in-5 | Bears vs. Commanders | SellBears>99¢ | $38,968 | −$39 −0.1% | — |
| 375d | westgolfer | Bears vs. Commanders | SellBears>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 375d | TradingLetsWinski | Bears vs. Commanders | SellBears>99¢ | $1,483 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 375d | poopmaster | Bears vs. Commanders | SellBears>99¢ | $2,214 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 375d | ronsonjonson | Spread -5.5 | SellBears>99¢ | $4,302 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 375d |  PCK | Bears vs. Commanders | SellBears>99¢ | $1,175 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 375d | jimbo24 | Bears vs. Commanders | SellBears>99¢ | $6,606 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 375d | pbshine | Bears vs. Commanders | SellBears>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 375d |  Ajwritescrypt0 | Bears vs. Commanders | SellBears>99¢ | $2,323 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 375d | 0xNuttawut | Bears vs. Commanders | SellBears>99¢ | $2,725 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 375d | study | Spread -4.5 | SellBears>99¢ | $1,041 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 375d | elkmonkey | Bears vs. Commanders | SellBears>99¢ | $29,970 | −$30 −0.1% | — |
| 375d | meill | Bears vs. Commanders | SellBears>99¢ | $5,780 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 375d | w1n3r | Bears vs. Commanders | SellBears>99¢ | $7,636 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 375d |  ThewhitewhaleV2 | Bears vs. Commanders | SellBears>99¢ | $5,430 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 375d |  4lem | Spread -4.5 | SellBears99¢ → 100¢ | $1,249 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 375d | fixdisputes | Bears vs. Commanders | SellBears99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 375d |  berboche | Spread -5.5 | SellBears99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 375d | 0x5375…aeea12 fills | Bears vs. Commanders | SellBears81¢ → 100¢ | $34,883 | −$7,926 −23% | — |
| 375d |  Helpful-Accessory | Bears vs. Commanders | SellBears99¢ → 100¢ | $4,214 | −$43 −1.0% | — |
| 375d | Intentional-Stall | Bears vs. Commanders | SellBears99¢ → 100¢ | $1,322 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 375d | qwertyasdfghjkl2 fills | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyBears77¢ → 100¢ | $17,663 | +$5,327 +30% | 6 |
| 375d | surf7 fills | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyBears30¢ → 100¢ | $15,451 | +$36,018 +233% | 6 |
| 375d | Objuan | Bears vs. Commanders | SellBears90¢ → 100¢ | $1,197 | −$133 −11% | — |
| 375d |  Takashimadaira | Bears vs. Commanders | SellBears87¢ → 100¢ | $1,515 | −$235 −16% | — |
| 375d | 0x5375…aeea23 fills | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyBears48¢ → 100¢ | $41,111 | +$44,722 +109% | 4 |
| 375d | richfeynman2 fills | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyCommanders24¢ → 0¢ | $8,447 | −$8,447 −100% | 6 |
| 375d |  IDKMANITSBAD | Bears vs. Commanders | SellBears75¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | −$372 −33% | — |
| 375d | qwertyasdfghjkl2 fills | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyCommanders35¢ → 0¢ | $13,559 | −$13,559 −100% | 6 |
| 375d | UncleBabyBilly2 fills | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyBears56¢ → 100¢ | $4,380 | +$3,436 +78% | 6 |
| 375d | 0xNuttawut | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyBears44¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$1,527 +127% | 6 |
| 375d | CrispyPeppermint2 fills | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyCommanders68¢ → 0¢ | $4,085 | −$4,085 −100% | 6 |
| 375d | Wldntulike2know | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyCommanders58¢ → 0¢ | $2,281 | −$2,281 −100% | 6 |
| 375d |  suingthiscorruptcompany | Bears vs. Commanders | SellCommanders57¢ → 0¢ | $12,112 | +$12,112 +100% | — |
| 375d |  3648393489047 | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyCommanders59¢ → 0¢ | $4,112 | −$4,112 −100% | 6 |
| 375d | Z777 | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyCommanders59¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 6 |
| 375d | Curvy-Pumpkinseed3 fills | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyBears37¢ → 100¢ | $15,032 | +$25,615 +170% | 6 |
| 375d | Helpful-Accessory | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyBears39¢ → 100¢ | $1,247 | +$1,938 +155% | 6 |
| 375d | 4-seas3 fills | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyCommanders69¢ → 0¢ | $9,703 | −$9,703 −100% | 4 |
| 375d | surf7 fills | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyCommanders55¢ → 0¢ | $22,525 | −$22,525 −100% | 6 |
| 375d | Jolanda | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyCommanders67¢ → 0¢ | $3,350 | −$3,350 −100% | 6 |
| 375d | BIGFLGGODHASMYBACK5 fills | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyCommanders62¢ → 0¢ | $25,072 | −$25,072 −100% | 6 |
| 375d | lavarball10 fills | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyCommanders67¢ → 0¢ | $17,660 | −$17,660 −100% | 6 |
| 375d |  Brokie | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyCommanders74¢ → 0¢ | $3,700 | −$3,700 −100% | 6 |
| 375d | CrispyPeppermint3 fills | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyBears35¢ → 100¢ | $4,494 | +$8,392 +187% | 6 |
| 375d | BABELCONSTEL | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyCommanders85¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 5 |
| 375d | BetMechanic3 fills | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyCommanders84¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 5 |
| 375d | kch123 | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyCommanders84¢ → 0¢ | $4,200 | −$4,200 −100% | 5 |
| 375d | Curvy-Pumpkinseed7 fills | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyCommanders56¢ → 0¢ | $34,340 | −$34,340 −100% | 6 |
| 375d | 881112 | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyBears20¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$8,000 +400% | 6 |
| 375d | CanadianGoose | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyCommanders72¢ → 0¢ | $1,440 | −$1,440 −100% | 6 |
| 375d | lavarball | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyBears40¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$1,800 +150% | 6 |
| 375d | meill | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyBears40¢ → 100¢ | $2,314 | +$3,472 +150% | 6 |
| 375d | Crazy-Arrival2 fills | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyCommanders61¢ → 0¢ | $2,247 | −$2,247 −100% | 9 |
| 375d | antman-batman-superman-lakers-in-52 fills | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyBears41¢ → 100¢ | $15,934 | +$22,936 +144% | 6 |
| 375d | ibeatpinnacle | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyCommanders62¢ → 0¢ | $1,959 | −$1,959 −100% | 6 |
| 375d |  MaiHaze | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyCommanders70¢ → 0¢ | $2,509 | −$2,509 −100% | 6 |
| 375d | BIGFLGGODHASMYBACK2 fills | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyBears52¢ → 100¢ | $22,260 | +$20,259 +91% | 6 |
| 375d | 0x02e65d10e83eb391ca0c466630f82790854e252 fills | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyCommanders49¢ → 0¢ | $18,460 | −$18,460 −100% | 6 |
| 375d | kch1236 fills | Bears vs. Commanders | BuyBears51¢ → 100¢ | $13,817 | +$13,462 +97% | 6 |
11Black33,750 sharesIn the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 13 at 8:15PM ET: If the Chicago Bears win, the market will resolve to “Bears”. If the Washington Commanders win, the market will resolve to “Commanders”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Bears vs. Commanders means the market gives it about 100%.