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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canadiens vs. Lightning | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 6.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 7.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206d | Celebrated-PictureNew account | Canadiens vs. Lightning | SellCanadiens>99¢ | $1,161 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | entropy-py | O/U 4.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $1,176 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | entropy-py | O/U 4.5 | BuyOver98¢ → 100¢ | $1,694 | +$29 +1.7% | 4 |
| 206d | 0x467c…8c893 fills | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyCanadiens92¢ → 100¢ | $12,545 | +$1,098 +8.8% | 4 |
| 206d | kch123 | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyCanadiens82¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | +$316 +22% | 4 |
| 206d | Anonpm | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyCanadiens78¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$428 +29% | 4 |
| 206d |  VeryLucky888 | Canadiens vs. Lightning | SellLightning60¢ → 0¢ | $2,574 | +$2,574 +100% | — |
| 206d | SC6688 | Canadiens vs. Lightning | SellCanadiens39¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | −$1,830 −156% | — |
| 206d |  ElonSpam | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyLightning61¢ → 0¢ | $3,050 | −$3,050 −100% | 14 |
| 206d |  Painfulvoid | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyLightning61¢ → 0¢ | $4,721 | −$4,721 −100% | 14 |
| 206d | elkmonkey4 fills | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyLightning61¢ → 0¢ | $12,277 | −$12,277 −100% | 14 |
| 206d | NDCom | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyCanadiens40¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$2,100 +150% | 14 |
| 206d | igetlitty | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyCanadiens40¢ → 100¢ | $2,380 | +$3,570 +150% | 14 |
| 206d | 0xefce…4e4a | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyCanadiens40¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,500 +150% | 14 |
| 206d | Ripe-Export | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyLightning61¢ → 0¢ | $2,617 | −$2,617 −100% | 20 |
| 206d | Lilybaeum3 fills | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyLightning60¢ → 0¢ | $4,556 | −$4,556 −100% | 14 |
| 206d | Cannae | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyLightning60¢ → 0¢ | $1,333 | −$1,333 −100% | 14 |
| 206d | 051432 fills | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyLightning60¢ → 0¢ | $4,980 | −$4,980 −100% | 14 |
| 206d | Jdhdhduu | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyCanadiens40¢ → 100¢ | $17,989 | +$26,983 +150% | 14 |
| 206d |  ComingBack | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyLightning61¢ → 0¢ | $4,071 | −$4,071 −100% | 14 |
| 206d | Swagsurfing | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyCanadiens40¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,500 +150% | 12 |
| 206d | Whole-Pillar | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyCanadiens40¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,500 +150% | 15 |
| 206d | Herdonia | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyCanadiens40¢ → 100¢ | $1,964 | +$2,947 +150% | 12 |
| 206d | Harmful-Wood | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyLightning60¢ → 0¢ | $7,314 | −$7,314 −100% | 12 |
| 206d | c4c4 | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyLightning60¢ → 0¢ | $1,196 | −$1,196 −100% | 12 |
| 206d | rustin | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyCanadiens40¢ → 100¢ | $5,564 | +$8,346 +150% | 12 |
| 206d | Dual-Criticism | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyCanadiens40¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$3,000 +150% | 12 |
| 207d | royalestake | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyCanadiens40¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,500 +150% | 12 |
| 207d | KirksCousin2 fills | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BuyLightning60¢ → 0¢ | $2,219 | −$2,219 −100% | 9 |
Painfulvoid7,740 sharesIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 31 at 7:00PM ET: If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Canadiens vs. Lightning means the market gives it about 100%.