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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senators vs. Lightning | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 6.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 5.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 7.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209d | Swagsurfing | Senators vs. Lightning | SellLightning>99¢ | $1,677 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 209d | Dry-Timing | Senators vs. Lightning | SellLightning>99¢ | $4,277 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 209d | Mosley13 fills | Senators vs. Lightning | SellLightning>99¢ | $299,700 | −$300 −0.1% | — |
| 209d |  Aussieoioioi | Senators vs. Lightning | SellLightning>99¢ | $1,459 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 209d | fsrfreelo | O/U 6.5 | SellUnder>99¢ | $1,409 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 209d | Takeshirosoku | Senators vs. Lightning | BuyLightning59¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$1,121 +70% | 4 |
| 209d |  3648393489047 | Senators vs. Lightning | BuyLightning58¢ → 100¢ | $2,961 | +$2,144 +72% | 4 |
| 209d | Needy-Preoccupation | O/U 4.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $1,247 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 209d | 0x27cdfbea6aacf09f0b4daab6cab1df865fed4d3 | Senators vs. Lightning | SellSenators74¢ → 0¢ | $2,796 | +$2,796 +100% | — |
| 209d | mvpchipper | Senators vs. Lightning | BuySenators76¢ → 0¢ | $2,765 | −$2,765 −100% | 4 |
| 209d |  Nooserac | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver58¢ → 0¢ | $7,436 | −$7,436 −100% | 4 |
| 209d | 0x27cdfbea6aacf09f0b4daab6cab1df865fed4d3 | Senators vs. Lightning | BuySenators74¢ → 0¢ | $1,603 | −$1,603 −100% | 4 |
| 209d | sportmaster7773 fills | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver56¢ → 0¢ | $10,239 | −$10,239 −100% | 4 |
| 209d | sportmaster7772 fills | O/U 5.5 | BuyOver68¢ → 100¢ | $5,710 | +$2,656 +47% | 4 |
| 209d | bcda3 fills | Senators vs. Lightning | BuyLightning57¢ → 100¢ | $78,438 | +$59,845 +76% | 14 |
| 209d | texaskid3 fills | Senators vs. Lightning | BuySenators45¢ → 0¢ | $59,200 | −$59,200 −100% | 4 |
| 209d | Dry-Timing | Senators vs. Lightning | BuyLightning56¢ → 100¢ | $2,397 | +$1,884 +79% | 4 |
| 209d | Whole-Pillar | Senators vs. Lightning | BuySenators44¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 7 |
| 209d | Jimhoffa | Senators vs. Lightning | BuySenators44¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 209d | Rapid-Climate | O/U 5.5 | BuyOver56¢ → 100¢ | $7,187 | +$5,649 +79% | 20 |
| 209d |  geniusMC2 fills | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder56¢ → 100¢ | $53,014 | +$41,654 +79% | 14 |
| 209d | Multicolored-Self8 fills | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder54¢ → 100¢ | $291,750 | +$244K +84% | 14 |
| 209d | Multicolored-Self6 fills | O/U 5.5 | BuyUnder46¢ → 0¢ | $32,953 | −$32,953 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | elkmonkey | Senators vs. Lightning | BuySenators44¢ → 0¢ | $1,665 | −$1,665 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | Weebay | Senators vs. Lightning | BuySenators43¢ → 0¢ | $1,720 | −$1,720 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | royalestake2 fills | Senators vs. Lightning | BuySenators44¢ → 0¢ | $3,500 | −$3,500 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | Mosley12 fills | Senators vs. Lightning | BuyLightning57¢ → 100¢ | $74,495 | +$56,198 +75% | 14 |
| 209d | Herdonia2 fills | Senators vs. Lightning | BuySenators44¢ → 0¢ | $3,207 | −$3,207 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | CemeterySun3 fills | Senators vs. Lightning | BuySenators43¢ → 0¢ | $68,840 | −$68,840 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | Creepy-Forage | Senators vs. Lightning | BuySenators43¢ → 0¢ | $1,290 | −$1,290 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | roldy | Senators vs. Lightning | BuySenators43¢ → 0¢ | $1,433 | −$1,433 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | roldy | Senators vs. Lightning | SellLightning57¢ → 100¢ | $1,710 | −$1,290 −75% | — |
| 209d | ESPN8TheOcho | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver47¢ → 0¢ | $1,352 | −$1,352 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | TsingTs32 | Senators vs. Lightning | SellSenators43¢ → 0¢ | $1,275 | +$1,275 +100% | — |
| 209d | Herdonia2 fills | Senators vs. Lightning | BuyLightning58¢ → 100¢ | $2,917 | +$2,145 +74% | 14 |
| 209d | igetlitty | Senators vs. Lightning | BuySenators44¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 14 |
| 210d | dghgt4 | O/U 4.5 | BuyOver80¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$350 +25% | 11 |
| 210d | h65trh | O/U 4.5 | BuyOver81¢ → 100¢ | $1,620 | +$380 +23% | 10 |
| 210d |  VeryLucky888 | Senators vs. Lightning | SellLightning57¢ → 100¢ | $5,031 | −$3,795 −75% | — |
| 210d | dfsef3f3422 | O/U 4.5 | BuyOver80¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$266 +25% | 11 |
| 210d | kevinfiederer1 | Senators vs. Lightning | BuyLightning58¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | +$999 +72% | 14 |
| 210d | NDCom | Senators vs. Lightning | BuySenators42¢ → 0¢ | $1,260 | −$1,260 −100% | 14 |
| 210d | Saivestor2 fills | Senators vs. Lightning | BuyLightning59¢ → 100¢ | $2,950 | +$2,050 +69% | 14 |
| 210d |  ComingBack | Senators vs. Lightning | BuyLightning59¢ → 100¢ | $4,071 | +$2,829 +69% | 12 |
| 210d |  b33t | Senators vs. Lightning | BuyLightning58¢ → 100¢ | $1,999 | +$1,448 +72% | 12 |
| 210d | AgriasOaks2 fills | Senators vs. Lightning | BuyLightning58¢ → 100¢ | $4,240 | +$3,070 +72% | 12 |
| 210d | ebbaz | Senators vs. Lightning | BuyLightning59¢ → 100¢ | $5,220 | +$3,691 +71% | 12 |
| 210d | Magnificent-Shark | Senators vs. Lightning | BuySenators42¢ → 0¢ | $2,946 | −$2,946 −100% | 15 |
| 210d | Virtual-Bloodflow | Senators vs. Lightning | BuySenators42¢ → 0¢ | $1,361 | −$1,361 −100% | 12 |
| 210d | cvzcxg599 | Senators vs. Lightning | BuySenators42¢ → 0¢ | $1,033 | −$1,033 −100% | 12 |
| 210d | Ripe-ExportNew account | Senators vs. Lightning | BuyLightning59¢ → 100¢ | $5,730 | +$3,982 +69% | 21 |
| 210d | yuanshuai | Senators vs. Lightning | BuyLightning59¢ → 100¢ | $3,599 | +$2,501 +69% | 12 |
| 210d | ArchelausButeo | Senators vs. Lightning | BuyLightning59¢ → 100¢ | $3,657 | +$2,541 +69% | 12 |
| 210d | TsingTs32 | Senators vs. Lightning | BuySenators41¢ → 0¢ | $10,324 | −$10,324 −100% | 12 |
| 211d | MidasYY | Senators vs. Lightning | BuySenators43¢ → 0¢ | $1,806 | −$1,806 −100% | 9 |
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 28 at 1:00PM ET: If the Senators win, the market will resolve to "Senators". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Senators vs. Lightning means the market gives it about 0%.