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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senators vs. Maple Leafs | 100% | +52 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Senators vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 | 0% | −46 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Senators vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5 | 0% | −27 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Senators vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5 | 100% | +21 pts | +20 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Senators vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5 | 0% | −57 pts | −61 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19d | 0x9134…4fad | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | SellSenators>99¢ | $1,321 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 19d | torta.tech | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | BuySenators85¢ → 100¢ | $1,397 | +$244 +17% | 4 |
| 19d | 0x9134…4fad | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | BuySenators85¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$198 +18% | 4 |
| 19d |  Nooserac | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | BuySenators82¢ → 100¢ | $1,642 | +$361 +22% | 4 |
| 19d | drop1234 | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | SellSenators80¢ → 100¢ | $1,316 | −$323 −25% | — |
| 19d | Wonderful-Patio3 fills | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | SellSenators82¢ → 100¢ | $4,241 | −$947 −22% | — |
| 19d | Substantial-Service9 fills | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | BuyMaple Leafs43¢ → 0¢ | $34,312 | −$34,312 −100% | 4 |
| 19d | 0xNuttawut | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | BuyMaple Leafs53¢ → 0¢ | $1,936 | −$1,936 −100% | 4 |
| 19d | 0x106B18F60c7819818e7f9504E3-1761458928632 | Senators vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 | BuyOver53¢ → 0¢ | $1,234 | −$1,234 −100% | 4 |
| 20d | dabossrealman | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | BuySenators33¢ → 100¢ | $2,766 | +$5,721 +207% | 4 |
| 20d | Substantial-Service2 fills | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | BuySenators45¢ → 100¢ | $10,922 | +$13,242 +121% | 4 |
| 20d |  one8tyfive2 fills | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | BuySenators46¢ → 100¢ | $4,127 | +$4,845 +117% | 4 |
| 20d | ihopeiwinzzz | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | BuyMaple Leafs34¢ → 0¢ | $18,329 | −$18,329 −100% | 4 |
| 20d | mooseborzoii | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | BuySenators50¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$1,350 +100% | 4 |
| 20d | Lawfulworm43 | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | BuyMaple Leafs51¢ → 0¢ | $1,466 | −$1,466 −100% | 14 |
| 20d | roldy2 fills | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | SellMaple Leafs50¢ → 0¢ | $5,022 | +$5,022 +100% | — |
| 20d |  The-Joker | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | BuySenators50¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,500 +100% | 14 |
| 20d |  nigiri99 | Spread -1.5 | BuySenators29¢ → 0¢ | $1,384 | −$1,384 −100% | 14 |
| 20d | Talvez10 | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | BuySenators49¢ → 100¢ | $35,255 | +$36,694 +104% | 14 |
| 20d |  cassandra.torchlight | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | BuySenators49¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$1,249 +104% | 14 |
| 20d |  PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | BuySenators49¢ → 100¢ | $7,350 | +$7,650 +104% | 14 |
| 20d | cocococococo | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | BuySenators49¢ → 100¢ | $1,633 | +$1,700 +104% | 12 |
| 20d | rustin | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | BuySenators48¢ → 100¢ | $2,865 | +$3,104 +108% | 12 |
| 20d |  Elenes2 fills | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | BuyMaple Leafs53¢ → 0¢ | $61,192 | −$61,192 −100% | 12 |
Elenes115,456 sharesIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00PM ET: If the Senators win, the market will resolve to "Senators". If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Senators vs. Maple Leafs means the market gives it about 100%.