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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Lightning | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 5.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 6.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 7.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211d |  roadto100Kin2026 | Kraken vs. Lightning | SellKraken>99¢ | $1,963 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 211d | Hard-Ironclad2 fills | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyKraken97¢ → 100¢ | $2,425 | +$75 +3.1% | 4 |
| 211d |  Aussieoioioi | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning58¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 211d |  b0nd1t2 fills | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning68¢ → 0¢ | $2,173 | −$2,173 −100% | 4 |
| 211d | GrizzliesSuck | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning67¢ → 0¢ | $1,071 | −$1,071 −100% | 4 |
| 211d |  ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD2 fills | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyKraken65¢ → 100¢ | $3,389 | +$1,848 +55% | 4 |
| 211d | 0x27cdfbea6aacf09f0b4daab6cab1df865fed4d3 | Kraken vs. Lightning | SellLightning70¢ → 0¢ | $1,062 | +$1,062 +100% | — |
| 211d | ethanaz | Spread -1.5 | BuyKraken49¢ → 100¢ | $1,225 | +$1,275 +104% | 4 |
| 211d | Saivestor | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyKraken29¢ → 100¢ | $1,626 | +$3,982 +245% | 4 |
| 212d |  JustADonk2 fills | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning71¢ → 0¢ | $4,049 | −$4,049 −100% | 4 |
| 212d |  VeryLucky888 | Kraken vs. Lightning | SellLightning71¢ → 0¢ | $1,683 | +$1,683 +100% | — |
| 212d | GamblingOdyssey | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $12,960 | −$12,960 −100% | 13 |
| 212d | ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD | Spread -1.5 | BuyLightning52¢ → 0¢ | $6,131 | −$6,131 −100% | 14 |
| 212d | ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning71¢ → 0¢ | $25,656 | −$25,656 −100% | 14 |
| 212d | Herdonia4 fills | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $7,599 | −$7,599 −100% | 13 |
| 212d | lionss | O/U 5.5 | BuyOver62¢ → 100¢ | $1,351 | +$828 +61% | 14 |
| 212d | mwenya2 fills | O/U 5.5 | BuyOver62¢ → 100¢ | $2,464 | +$1,536 +62% | 14 |
| 212d | Jdhdhduu | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyKraken29¢ → 100¢ | $4,599 | +$11,261 +245% | 14 |
| 212d | Ripe-ExportNew account | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $12,634 | −$12,634 −100% | 22 |
| 212d | KirksCousin | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $2,130 | −$2,130 −100% | 13 |
| 212d |  POLYCHEAT | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $8,600 | −$8,600 −100% | 13 |
| 212d |  XPredicter1 | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $1,037 | −$1,037 −100% | 13 |
| 212d | aninooo2 fills | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $4,147 | −$4,147 −100% | 13 |
| 212d | ArchelausButeo | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $12,228 | −$12,228 −100% | 13 |
| 212d | darthstpn | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $1,460 | −$1,460 −100% | 13 |
| 212d | BfgerCsee | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $5,112 | −$5,112 −100% | 13 |
| 212d |  matanovik | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $4,478 | −$4,478 −100% | 13 |
| 212d | NDCom | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyKraken29¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$2,840 +245% | 14 |
| 212d | Spirited-Project | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 13 |
| 212d |  ComingBack | O/U 5.5 | BuyOver60¢ → 100¢ | $3,471 | +$2,314 +67% | 14 |
| 212d | ComingBack | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $3,471 | −$3,471 −100% | 13 |
| 212d | hipp | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $1,278 | −$1,278 −100% | 11 |
| 212d | adskfjdskjfhskdf | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $7,776 | −$7,776 −100% | 11 |
| 212d | Judicious-Flick | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $1,806 | −$1,806 −100% | 11 |
| 212d | betopinto | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $1,452 | −$1,452 −100% | 11 |
| 212d | Lustrous-FollowerNew account | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $5,054 | −$5,054 −100% | 23 |
| 212d | Marvelous-Male | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $12,806 | −$12,806 −100% | 14 |
| 212d |  temafloram | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $5,773 | −$5,773 −100% | 11 |
| 212d | jtwyslljy | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $25,200 | −$25,200 −100% | 11 |
| 212d | Even-Caftan | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $1,069 | −$1,069 −100% | 14 |
| 212d | jd64 | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver47¢ → 100¢ | $3,431 | +$3,869 +113% | 12 |
| 212d | DADSFSFVDGDGF | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $1,025 | −$1,025 −100% | 11 |
| 212d | HHJJFD | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyKraken29¢ → 100¢ | $1,367 | +$3,348 +245% | 12 |
| 212d | DSFSFDAVDGDGF | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $1,157 | −$1,157 −100% | 11 |
| 212d | VDGDGF | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning72¢ → 0¢ | $1,213 | −$1,213 −100% | 11 |
| 212d | weflyhigh | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyKraken28¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | +$2,920 +257% | 12 |
| 212d | iloveabgs | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning71¢ → 0¢ | $4,297 | −$4,297 −100% | 12 |
| 213d | Round321 | Kraken vs. Lightning | BuyLightning71¢ → 0¢ | $13,764 | −$13,764 −100% | 9 |
RefaelJTrump1,973 shares
Po1yamory1,800 sharesIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 26 at 7:00PM ET: If the Kraken win, the market will resolve to "Kraken". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Kraken vs. Lightning means the market gives it about 100%.