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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lightning vs. Senators | 0% | −45 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 6.5 | 100% | +51 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 5.5 | 100% | +41 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% | +67 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% | +20 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 7.5 | 100% | +72 pts | +47 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199d | 050005000500 | Lightning vs. Senators | SellSenators>99¢ | $4,596 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 199d | Zenhack2 fills | O/U 6.5 | SellOver98¢ → 100¢ | $10,971 | −$262 −2.4% | — |
| 199d | rustin | Lightning vs. Senators | SellSenators>99¢ | $19,980 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 199d | Zenhack | Lightning vs. Senators | SellSenators>99¢ | $7,882 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 199d | doggoo | Lightning vs. Senators | SellSenators>99¢ | $1,426 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 199d | 0xdca9…0898 | O/U 6.5 | SellOver>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 199d | XH03RRR | O/U 7.5 | BuyOver>99¢ | $1,118 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 199d | doggoo | Lightning vs. Senators | BuySenators99¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 199d | entropy-py | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver99¢ → 100¢ | $1,698 | +$25 +1.5% | 4 |
| 199d | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver50¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$3,000 +100% | 4 | |
| 199d | Vigilant-Environment | Lightning vs. Senators | BuySenators77¢ → 100¢ | $1,929 | +$576 +30% | 4 |
| 199d | Wonderful-Patio | Lightning vs. Senators | BuyLightning48¢ → 0¢ | $1,213 | −$1,213 −100% | 4 |
| 199d | Lightning vs. Senators | BuySenators71¢ → 100¢ | $1,555 | +$646 +42% | 4 | |
| 199d | Wonderful-Patio | Lightning vs. Senators | BuySenators59¢ → 100¢ | $2,195 | +$1,512 +69% | 4 |
| 199d | ljmcha | Lightning vs. Senators | BuyLightning46¢ → 0¢ | $1,380 | −$1,380 −100% | 4 |
| 199d | Lightning vs. Senators | BuyLightning46¢ → 0¢ | $2,664 | −$2,664 −100% | 4 | |
| 199d | Lightning vs. Senators | BuySenators54¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$872 +85% | 4 | |
| 199d | Lightning vs. Senators | BuyLightning44¢ → 0¢ | $2,640 | −$2,640 −100% | 4 | |
| 199d | soccerfan7 | O/U 6.5 | SellOver15¢ → 100¢ | $1,314 | −$7,705 −586% | — |
| 199d | Lightning vs. Senators | SellLightning41¢ → 0¢ | $1,391 | +$1,391 +100% | — | |
| 199d | Lightning vs. Senators | BuyLightning44¢ → 0¢ | $1,017 | −$1,017 −100% | 4 | |
| 199d | ChompChomp888 | Lightning vs. Senators | BuySenators58¢ → 100¢ | $2,153 | +$1,559 +72% | 4 |
| 199d | ellio8989 | Lightning vs. Senators | BuyLightning42¢ → 0¢ | $2,503 | −$2,503 −100% | 4 |
| 199d | texaskid2 fills | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver49¢ → 100¢ | $47,311 | +$49,701 +105% | 4 |
| 199d | awalkinwallstreet | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder51¢ → 0¢ | $2,040 | −$2,040 −100% | 4 |
| 199d | vbv192 fills | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver50¢ → 100¢ | $15,593 | +$15,821 +101% | 4 |
| 199d | 0x5d1d…afd2 | Lightning vs. Senators | BuySenators59¢ → 100¢ | $3,545 | +$2,464 +69% | 4 |
| 199d | 0x4ef2…ccfb | Lightning vs. Senators | BuySenators59¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$729 +69% | 4 |
| 199d | 0x86fb…03d4 | Lightning vs. Senators | BuySenators59¢ → 100¢ | $3,545 | +$2,464 +69% | 4 |
| 199d | 0xfb51…082d | Lightning vs. Senators | BuySenators59¢ → 100¢ | $3,545 | +$2,464 +69% | 4 |
| 199d | pilotguy | Lightning vs. Senators | BuySenators59¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$1,737 +69% | 4 |
| 199d | pilotlady | Lightning vs. Senators | BuySenators59¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$1,737 +69% | 4 |
| 199d | 0xb5bd…b891 | Lightning vs. Senators | BuySenators59¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$869 +69% | 4 |
| 199d | kch123 | Lightning vs. Senators | BuySenators58¢ → 100¢ | $14,181 | +$10,269 +72% | 4 |
| 199d | Feveey | Lightning vs. Senators | BuySenators57¢ → 100¢ | $50,197 | +$37,417 +75% | 4 |
| 199d | THEdirkdiggler | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder52¢ → 0¢ | $7,748 | −$7,748 −100% | 4 |
| 199d | ellio8989 | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver49¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | +$1,530 +104% | 14 |
| 199d | gatorr | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder51¢ → 0¢ | $1,723 | −$1,723 −100% | 14 |
| 199d | BoggsFromShawshank | Lightning vs. Senators | BuyLightning43¢ → 0¢ | $4,378 | −$4,378 −100% | 14 |
| 199d | NDCom | Lightning vs. Senators | BuyLightning43¢ → 0¢ | $1,505 | −$1,505 −100% | 14 |
| 199d | TTdes2 fills | Lightning vs. Senators | BuySenators55¢ → 100¢ | $24,978 | +$20,322 +81% | 12 |
| 199d | Talvez10 | Lightning vs. Senators | BuySenators59¢ → 100¢ | $73,458 | +$51,507 +70% | 14 |
| 199d | CemeterySun2 fills | Lightning vs. Senators | BuySenators57¢ → 100¢ | $19,488 | +$14,702 +75% | 14 |
| 199d | soccerfan7 | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver49¢ → 100¢ | $5,116 | +$5,325 +104% | 14 |
| 199d | ChompChomp888 | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver48¢ → 100¢ | $2,880 | +$3,120 +108% | 14 |
| 199d | NoMMS111 | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver48¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$2,080 +108% | 14 |
| 199d | 0x6e59…beee | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder53¢ → 0¢ | $2,304 | −$2,304 −100% | 14 |
| 199d | 0xe94c…1ede | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder53¢ → 0¢ | $1,034 | −$1,034 −100% | 14 |
| 199d | Multicolored-Self6 fills | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder53¢ → 0¢ | $313,853 | −$314K −100% | 14 |
| 199d | 0x9902…34b32 fills | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver50¢ → 100¢ | $7,539 | +$7,587 +101% | 14 |
| 199d | 0x5d1d…afd23 fills | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder53¢ → 0¢ | $18,464 | −$18,464 −100% | 14 |
| 199d | 0x86fb…03d43 fills | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder52¢ → 0¢ | $7,500 | −$7,500 −100% | 14 |
| 199d | pilotguy3 fills | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder53¢ → 0¢ | $10,000 | −$10,000 −100% | 14 |
| 199d | igetlitty | Lightning vs. Senators | BuyLightning44¢ → 0¢ | $1,320 | −$1,320 −100% | 14 |
| 199d | 0xb5bd…b891 | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder51¢ → 0¢ | $1,007 | −$1,007 −100% | 14 |
| 199d | dzejlanbezs2 fills | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder50¢ → 0¢ | $4,043 | −$4,043 −100% | 14 |
| 199d | elkmonkey18 fills | Lightning vs. Senators | BuySenators56¢ → 100¢ | $133,746 | +$106K +79% | 12 |
| 199d | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver51¢ → 100¢ | $3,825 | +$3,675 +96% | 14 | |
| 199d | Needy-Preoccupation | O/U 4.5 | BuyOver85¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$176 +18% | 10 |
| 199d | Herdonia2 fills | Lightning vs. Senators | BuySenators55¢ → 100¢ | $3,400 | +$2,742 +81% | 12 |
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 7 at 7:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Senators win, the market will resolve to "Senators". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Lightning vs. Senators means the market gives it about 0%.