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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lightning vs. Flyers | 100% | +41 pts | +46 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 5.5 | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 6.5 | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% | +63 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 285d | Lightning vs. Flyers | SellLightning>99¢ | $2,044 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 285d | Lightning vs. Flyers | BuyLightning>99¢ | $1,158 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 285d | Nifteguy | Lightning vs. Flyers | BuyLightning>99¢ | $1,160 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 285d | ewww1 | Lightning vs. Flyers | SellLightning99¢ → 100¢ | $1,373 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 285d | BoomLaLa2 fills | Lightning vs. Flyers | BuyLightning97¢ → 100¢ | $6,091 | +$161 +2.6% | 4 |
| 285d | KBG89 | Lightning vs. Flyers | BuyLightning79¢ → 100¢ | $7,030 | +$1,913 +27% | 4 |
| 285d | BetMechanic | Lightning vs. Flyers | BuyLightning57¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | +$996 +75% | 4 |
| 285d | Lightning vs. Flyers | BuyLightning63¢ → 100¢ | $1,289 | +$757 +59% | 4 | |
| 285d | O/U 5.5 | BuyUnder45¢ → 0¢ | $8,383 | −$8,383 −100% | 14 | |
| 285d | yeezeez | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder57¢ → 0¢ | $2,052 | −$2,052 −100% | 14 |
| 285d | yeezeez | O/U 5.5 | BuyUnder44¢ → 0¢ | $1,056 | −$1,056 −100% | 14 |
| 285d | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver46¢ → 100¢ | $2,534 | +$2,975 +117% | 14 | |
| 285d | Lightning vs. Flyers | BuyLightning63¢ → 100¢ | $45,360 | +$26,640 +59% | 14 | |
| 285d | 9sh8f | Lightning vs. Flyers | BuyLightning63¢ → 100¢ | $3,405 | +$2,000 +59% | 14 |
| 285d | 0x5bc4D9adDd8597eb34e255d97c194f4D78Bf44f | Lightning vs. Flyers | BuyFlyers38¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | −$1,140 −100% | 14 |
| 285d | cc0xb7511d7b0dcbb75fyhh0507ccc05326263 | Lightning vs. Flyers | BuyFlyers37¢ → 0¢ | $87,633 | −$87,633 −100% | 14 |
| 285d | Lightning vs. Flyers | BuyFlyers37¢ → 0¢ | $2,035 | −$2,035 −100% | 14 | |
| 285d | bcda | Lightning vs. Flyers | BuyFlyers37¢ → 0¢ | $55,500 | −$55,500 −100% | 14 |
| 285d | Lightning vs. Flyers | BuyFlyers37¢ → 0¢ | $2,986 | −$2,986 −100% | 14 | |
| 285d | MrSparklySimpsons | Lightning vs. Flyers | BuyLightning63¢ → 100¢ | $1,229 | +$722 +59% | 14 |
| 285d | theyseemeloosintheyhatin | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder56¢ → 0¢ | $8,680 | −$8,680 −100% | 12 |
| 285d | rustin2 fills | Lightning vs. Flyers | BuyLightning60¢ → 100¢ | $10,430 | +$7,058 +68% | 9 |
| 285d | rustin2 fills | O/U 5.5 | BuyOver57¢ → 100¢ | $7,762 | +$5,858 +75% | 12 |
| 285d | roldy3 fills | Lightning vs. Flyers | BuyLightning59¢ → 100¢ | $4,449 | +$3,128 +70% | 9 |
| 285d | 432614799197 | Lightning vs. Flyers | BuyLightning60¢ → 100¢ | $1,663 | +$1,108 +67% | 12 |
| 286d | Saivestor2 fills | Lightning vs. Flyers | BuyLightning59¢ → 100¢ | $5,900 | +$4,100 +69% | 12 |
| 286d | 0xb7511d7b0dcb75ffad0507cbac7223653d08915 | Lightning vs. Flyers | BuyFlyers42¢ → 0¢ | $2,053 | −$2,053 −100% | 12 |
| 286d | K00ldr4g0n | Lightning vs. Flyers | BuyFlyers42¢ → 0¢ | $1,047 | −$1,047 −100% | 9 |
| 286d | 55779911 | Lightning vs. Flyers | BuyFlyers43¢ → 0¢ | $2,707 | −$2,707 −100% | 9 |
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 10 at 7:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to "Flyers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Lightning vs. Flyers means the market gives it about 100%.