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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread -1.5 | 100% | +8 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | 0% | −20 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 6.5 | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 318d | ghfg58 | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | SellMaple Leafs>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 318d | Knowing-Powder | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | SellMaple Leafs>99¢ | $1,041 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 318d | EVplusrebate | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | SellMaple Leafs>99¢ | $1,497 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 318d |  jmac | Spread -1.5 | BuyMaple Leafs91¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$104 +9.9% | 4 |
| 318d | BoomLaLa | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyMaple Leafs99¢ → 100¢ | $3,057 | +$31 +1.0% | 4 |
| 318d | gmanas6 fills | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyMaple Leafs73¢ → 100¢ | $67,803 | +$24,629 +36% | 4 |
| 318d |  Nooserac | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyMaple Leafs84¢ → 100¢ | $16,267 | +$3,098 +19% | 4 |
| 318d | Cavs2 | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyLightning31¢ → 0¢ | $1,856 | −$1,856 −100% | 4 |
| 318d | swisstony2 fills | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyMaple Leafs67¢ → 100¢ | $3,425 | +$1,655 +48% | 4 |
| 318d | comon1192 fills | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyLightning44¢ → 0¢ | $6,183 | −$6,183 −100% | 12 |
| 319d |  unknowngambler | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyMaple Leafs62¢ → 100¢ | $1,364 | +$836 +61% | 4 |
| 319d | EdwardLewis | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyMaple Leafs62¢ → 100¢ | $3,067 | +$1,880 +61% | 4 |
| 319d | fenx0xx2 fills | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyMaple Leafs62¢ → 100¢ | $5,632 | +$3,387 +60% | 4 |
| 319d |  Painfulvoid | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder49¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$1,249 +104% | 14 |
| 319d | Frizzy-Schnitzel | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyLightning55¢ → 0¢ | $7,500 | −$7,500 −100% | 17 |
| 319d | Dingwin | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyLightning55¢ → 0¢ | $4,400 | −$4,400 −100% | 14 |
| 319d |  GamblingIsAllYouNeed | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyMaple Leafs45¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$1,339 +122% | 14 |
| 319d |  Anjun | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyLightning55¢ → 0¢ | $8,547 | −$8,547 −100% | 14 |
| 319d | Dingwin | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver51¢ → 0¢ | $4,533 | −$4,533 −100% | 14 |
| 319d | C.SIN | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyLightning55¢ → 0¢ | $20,847 | −$20,847 −100% | 14 |
| 319d | TTdes | O/U 6.5 | SellOver50¢ → 0¢ | $1,065 | +$1,065 +100% | — |
| 319d | Fluxorbit | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder50¢ → 100¢ | $6,117 | +$6,117 +100% | 14 |
| 319d |  RunThePMarket | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyLightning55¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 14 |
| 319d |  cassiuswinston | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder50¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,000 +100% | 14 |
| 319d | rqwtqwe | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyLightning55¢ → 0¢ | $2,385 | −$2,385 −100% | 14 |
| 319d | pioyum | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyLightning55¢ → 0¢ | $2,685 | −$2,685 −100% | 14 |
| 319d | SolteronBB | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver51¢ → 0¢ | $1,022 | −$1,022 −100% | 14 |
| 319d | LudoPriclychenie3 fills | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder49¢ → 100¢ | $35,947 | +$37,068 +103% | 12 |
| 319d | 0x2ea429e6641de0abf1829e4d46fcf27870b3ff4 | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyLightning55¢ → 0¢ | $3,666 | −$3,666 −100% | 14 |
| 319d | theyseemeloosintheyhatin | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyLightning55¢ → 0¢ | $11,000 | −$11,000 −100% | 14 |
| 319d | formidable2458 | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyMaple Leafs46¢ → 100¢ | $1,336 | +$1,568 +117% | 14 |
| 319d | SportsHome | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver51¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | −$1,020 −100% | 14 |
| 319d |  Stupidity | O/U 6.5 | BuyOver51¢ → 0¢ | $2,550 | −$2,550 −100% | 14 |
| 319d | 4-seas2 fills | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyLightning54¢ → 0¢ | $4,593 | −$4,593 −100% | 12 |
| 319d | royalestake | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyLightning54¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 12 |
| 319d |  hurpdurp | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyLightning53¢ → 0¢ | $3,511 | −$3,511 −100% | 12 |
| 319d |  ComingBack | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyLightning53¢ → 0¢ | $3,500 | −$3,500 −100% | 12 |
| 319d | roldy2 fills | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyLightning53¢ → 0¢ | $11,660 | −$11,660 −100% | 12 |
| 319d | hurpdurp | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | SellMaple Leafs47¢ → 100¢ | $2,350 | −$2,650 −113% | — |
| 319d | howboutthemcookies | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder50¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,000 +100% | 12 |
| 319d |  fishuu | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder50¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | +$1,287 +100% | 12 |
| 319d | Cavs211 fills | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyMaple Leafs48¢ → 100¢ | $73,181 | +$79,280 +108% | 12 |
| 319d | bioo | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyLightning53¢ → 0¢ | $1,766 | −$1,766 −100% | 12 |
| 319d | AlexanderTheBait | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyLightning52¢ → 0¢ | $1,018 | −$1,018 −100% | 12 |
| 319d | Vanchalkenstein | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyMaple Leafs48¢ → 100¢ | $26,084 | +$28,258 +108% | 12 |
| 319d | JHGKHLGNG | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyLightning53¢ → 0¢ | $1,060 | −$1,060 −100% | 12 |
| 319d | BNGLKHFG | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyMaple Leafs48¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$1,092 +108% | 12 |
| 319d | schweinsteiger17 | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | SellMaple Leafs47¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | −$1,590 −113% | — |
| 319d |  wendy999 | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | SellMaple Leafs47¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | −$2,120 −113% | — |
| 319d | yuanshuai | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyMaple Leafs48¢ → 100¢ | $4,989 | +$5,405 +108% | 12 |
| 319d | howboutthemcookies | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyMaple Leafs48¢ → 100¢ | $1,680 | +$1,820 +108% | 12 |
| 319d |  gogogo555 | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | SellMaple Leafs48¢ → 100¢ | $1,337 | −$1,448 −108% | — |
| 319d | ghostt4 | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyLightning52¢ → 0¢ | $21,943 | −$21,943 −100% | 12 |
| 319d | MrSparklySimpsons | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyLightning52¢ → 0¢ | $22,120 | −$22,120 −100% | 12 |
| 319d | Zjutk | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyMaple Leafs50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,000 +100% | 12 |
| 319d | ajyui | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyMaple Leafs50¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,000 +100% | 12 |
| 319d | atjut | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyLightning51¢ → 0¢ | $2,040 | −$2,040 −100% | 12 |
| 319d | atjui | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BuyLightning51¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | −$1,020 −100% | 12 |
| 319d |  mecrypto | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder54¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$854 +85% | 12 |
| 319d | pupsya | O/U 6.5 | BuyUnder53¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | +$984 +88% | 12 |
Punisher2022552 sharesIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for December 8 at 7:30PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Spread -1.5 means the market gives it about 100%.