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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nigel Farage announces he is resigning as head of Reform UK or otherwise ceases to be head of Reform UK for any length of time between January 4, 2025 and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Nigel Farage announces he is resigning but remains on in this position to a point outside this market's timeframe, the announcement will still qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nigel Farage or the Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.
