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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −2 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 251d | JAMTICH | North Korea missile launch by February 14? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,637 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 251d |  goalone | North Korea missile launch by February 14? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,926 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 251d |  PredictionYogi2 fills | North Korea missile launch by February 14? | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,946 | +$28 +0.2% | 20 |
| 251d |  KENDAWG | North Korea missile launch by February 14? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,811 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 251d | PITCRIPTO | North Korea missile launch by February 14? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,060 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 252d | 0x11981FC3 | North Korea missile launch by February 14? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 253d |  RossGueller | North Korea missile launch by February 14? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,269 | +$96 +7.5% | 21 |
bjprolo60 shares
Teixeira1050 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.