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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 845d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in June? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,551 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 849d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in June? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | +$22 +1.8% | 20 | |
| 856d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in June? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,922 | −$78 −4.1% | — | |
| 863d | vainglorious872 fills | North Korea x South Korea military clash in June? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,881 | +$117 +1.7% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of North Korea (Democratic People's Republic of Korea) and South Korea (Republic of Korea) between June 9, 2024, and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between North Korean and South Korean military forces. Non-violent actions, such as the deployment of balloons, audio broadcasts, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.