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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 260d | MistahFox | Nothing Ever Happens: February | BuySomething>99¢ | $2,138 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 260d |  bamesjond | Nothing Ever Happens: February | BuySomething>99¢ | $2,250 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 260d |  Te0n22 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: February | BuySomething99¢ → 100¢ | $2,132 | +$32 +1.5% | 4 |
| 260d |  pepeFight | Nothing Ever Happens: February | BuySomething99¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 261d | lichong358 | Nothing Ever Happens: February | BuyNothing63¢ → 0¢ | $1,298 | −$1,298 −100% | 4 |
| 262d |  Jamwayne | Nothing Ever Happens: February | BuyNothing64¢ → 0¢ | $1,030 | −$1,030 −100% | 4 |
| 262d | dotheoppositeofme | Nothing Ever Happens: February | BuyNothing63¢ → 0¢ | $1,111 | −$1,111 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - US strikes Iran - Israel strikes Iran - Gov Shutdown for 10+ days - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - André Ventura wins Portugal Presidential Election - LDP does not win most seats in Japan General Election - Gold (GC) hits ↑ $8,000 - Bitcoin hits ↓ 60,000 - Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran - Insurrection Act invoked Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Feb.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.