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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −28 pts | −71 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 265d | csgb | Nothing Ever Happens: January | SellNo>99¢ | $1,096 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  arjennnnn | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,055 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 265d |  LinaBell | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,556 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 267d | mamai | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $1,088 | −$1,088 −100% | 9 |
| 270d |  ondra123 | Nothing Ever Happens: January | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | −$300 −18% | — |
| 271d |  Roflan-ludoman2 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $2,490 | +$1,011 +41% | 6 |
| 271d | Roflan-ludoman | Nothing Ever Happens: January | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,559 | −$680 −27% | — |
| 271d | VvVv | Nothing Ever Happens: January | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,025 | −$475 −23% | — |
| 271d | hunggin | Nothing Ever Happens: January | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,969 | −$640 −32% | — |
| 271d | VvVv | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,966 | +$742 +25% | 5 |
| 276d |  ComingBack | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyYes71¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 280d | ondra1233 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyNo48¢ → 100¢ | $5,333 | +$5,767 +108% | 5 |
| 280d |  Doom.kai | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,396 | −$1,396 −100% | 4 |
| 281d | oryn69 | Nothing Ever Happens: January | SellNo59¢ → 100¢ | $1,360 | −$928 −68% | — |
| 286d | therunout | Nothing Ever Happens: January | SellNo52¢ → 100¢ | $2,529 | −$2,289 −91% | — |
| 286d | therunout2 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $2,217 | +$1,759 +79% | 4 |
| 289d |  ggmggn | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,261 | −$1,261 −100% | 4 |
MossadAgent999,966 shares
gamebetter698 sharesThis market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Another US government shutdown - Fed Rate Cut - Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran - Israel strikes Iran - Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela - U.S. invades a Latin American country - US strike on Cuba - US strike on Colombia - Nicolás Maduro released from custody Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+January.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.