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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 96¢ · >99¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 295d |  JesusReturns2026 | Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$38 +0.9% | 4 |
| 296d | th2 | Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,032 | +$23 +1.1% | 4 |
| 328d | Whaile | Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,643 | +$183 +11% | 4 |
| 362d | jjjtesty | Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,373 | +$242 +18% | 4 |
gopfan2900 shares
OneFluffyBunny509 sharesThis market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: - A hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A megaquake occurs Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+Natural+Disaster+Edition.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.