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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 94% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 93¢ · 95¢ (2¢) | $1.05 | in 70d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 251d |  LaPulgaLeo | Nothing Ever Happens: Obama | BuyNothing95¢ → 94¢ | $1,033 | −$16 −1.6% | 7 |
LaPulgaLeo1,083 shares
Melqui492 shares
95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04100 shares
Talophex100 sharesThis market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Obama federally charged - Obama arrested - Obama divorce Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 94¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 94%.