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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 386d | ForgetAboutBenjamin | Nuclear weapon detonation before October? | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,824 | +$18 +0.1% | 4 |
| 386d |  basedcigany | Nuclear weapon detonation before October? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,136 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 387d |  Justitia3 fills | Nuclear weapon detonation before October? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,349 | −$32 −0.5% | — |
| 396d |  Zykoer | Nuclear weapon detonation before October? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,412 | +$24 +1.0% | 4 |
| 396d | 854A78433 fills | Nuclear weapon detonation before October? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,832 | +$133 +1.5% | 4 |
| 403d | PNGNPLAA | Nuclear weapon detonation before October? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$13 +1.3% | 4 |
| 405d | 854A78432 fills | Nuclear weapon detonation before October? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $11,057 | −$299 −2.7% | — |
| 418d | Justitia4 fills | Nuclear weapon detonation before October? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,637 | +$246 +3.7% | 4 |
| 439d | LBZone | Nuclear weapon detonation before October? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,607 | +$423 +7.5% | 4 |
triphop397 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a nuclear weapon is detonated anywhere in the world between July 2 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market's resolution, any detonation of a nuclear weapon anywhere on the planet Earth or in space will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution. This includes offensive usages, nuclear tests, and accidental detonations. Use/launch of a nuclear weapon that fails to detonate, a fake weapon that never detonates, or a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material by means of a conventional explosion are not sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution of this market. Only a successful nuclear detonation will result in a "Yes" resolution. This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a nuclear detonation is confirmed by a preponderance of credible reporting. For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.