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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320d | 033033033 | Obama in jail in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 342d | 0330330332 fills | Obama in jail in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,025 | +$75 +1.2% | 4 |
| 395d | Obama in jail in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,640 | −$38 −2.3% | — | |
| 429d | Obama in jail in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,472 | +$53 +2.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama serves any time in custody in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.