Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Polymarket · WorldClosed
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >30% | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| >50% | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| >70% | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 326d | esac3 fills | >50% | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,787 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 326d | esac3 fills | >30% | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,219 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 326d | Gourdin | >30% | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 327d |  MisTKy3 | >30% | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,351 | +$21 +1.6% | 20 |
| 327d |  UwO | >70% | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,105 | +$46 +4.2% | 20 |
| 327d | MisTKy3 | >50% | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$353 +13% | 24 |
| 328d | casper1009 | >30% | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,551 | +$49 +3.2% | 21 |
donglai661,400 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market ‘US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?’ (https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on December 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/us-x-venezuela or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the 4-hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >30% means the market gives it about 100%.