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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25-49 | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <25 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50-74 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 75-99 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-124 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 125-149 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 150-174 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 175-199 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200+ | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 626d |  tsybka | 25-49 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,311 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 626d | fkuUMA | 25-49 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 626d |  noreasapa | 25-49 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,864 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 626d | OPFORintelligence | 25-49 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,062 | +$9 +0.3% | 4 |
| 626d |  MisTKy3 | 25-49 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,153 | +$22 +0.3% | 4 |
| 626d | tsybka3 fills | 25-49 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $33,407 | +$178 +0.5% | 4 |
| 626d | aviato | 25-49 | BuyYes100¢ | $4,975 | +$25 +0.5% | 4 |
| 626d | fkuUMA2 fills | 25-49 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,340 | +$129 +3.9% | 4 |
| 626d | MakerOne2 fills | 25-49 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $18,811 | +$604 +3.2% | 4 |
| 626d |  Therealsmurf | 25-49 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,243 | +$121 +5.4% | 4 |
| 626d |  masnjr | 25-49 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,396 | +$202 +5.9% | 4 |
| 626d |  Car | <25 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,075 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 626d |  RiseAndSunny | 25-49 | BuyNo95¢ → 0¢ | $1,064 | −$1,064 −100% | 4 |
| 626d |  catasus | 50-74 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$124 +12% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the final value displayed on the attempt/loss counter for the Speed/Kai “Fortnite OG season 2 Playing Fortnite Until we get a Win” challenge scheduled for February 4. This market will resolve once Speed/Kai complete the challenge, or otherwise abandon the challenge altogether. If the counter reaches higher than this market's listed outcome, the market may immediately resolve to "No". If no counter is available, this market will resolve based on the number of times both Speed and Kai leave a game after it has started (eg, once both die in-game, it counts as 1 attempt). The resolution source is the counter on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat. If the challenge is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market group will resolve to the highest bracket.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 25-49 means the market gives it about 100%.