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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70-79 | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| <40 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 40-49 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 50-59 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 60-69 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 80-89 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 90-99 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 100+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 862d | KClayton2021 | 70-79 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$41 +2.0% | 21 |
| 862d | 60-69 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.0% | 21 | |
| 863d | 100+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,835 | +$103 +1.5% | 20 | |
| 863d | professorx | 50-59 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,665 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 864d | professorx | 40-49 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,232 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 864d | 40-49 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,038 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 865d | <40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,032 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 866d | 90-99 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | +$60 +5.3% | 20 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 70-79 means the market gives it about 100%.