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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4–8% | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ≤4% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 8–12% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 12–16% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 16%+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 458d | rwo | 4–8% | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,944 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 |
| 458d | rwo | 8–12% | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,245 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 458d | rwo | 12–16% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,653 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 459d | borntoolate.eth | 4–8% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,202 | −$10 −0.8% | — |
| 468d | ChelseaCulver | 4–8% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,705 | −$14 −0.8% | — |
| 468d | ChelseaCulver | 4–8% | BuyYes100¢ | $1,711 | +$9 +0.5% | 10 |
| 468d |  Oompa-Loompa2 fills | 4–8% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,409 | +$33 +0.6% | 10 |
| 468d | cigarettes2 fills | 8–12% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,594 | +$9 +0.3% | 10 |
| 468d | wokerjoesleeper | 8–12% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,442 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 |
| 468d | cigarettes2 fills | 12–16% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,073 | +$7 +0.2% | 10 |
| 468d | wokerjoesleeper | ≤4% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,443 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 470d | LR1 | 4–8% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$49 +0.7% | 10 |
| 472d |  gopfan2 | 4–8% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,065 | +$71 +1.0% | 10 |
| 472d | cigarettes | 16%+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,079 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 472d | cigarettes | ≤4% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,076 | +$4 +0.4% | 10 |
| 472d | borntoolate.eth2 fills | 4–8% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $22,075 | +$227 +1.0% | 10 |
CryptoCoop77714 sharesThis market will resolve based on the percentage of ballots that become inactive during the ranked-choice voting (RCV) process in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary election, according to the final certified vote totals. A ballot is considered inactive if it is no longer eligible to be transferred in a given RCV round. The inactive ballots percentage will be calculated as: (Total number of inactive ballots in the final round ÷ Total number of ballots cast in the first round) × 100 The market will resolve according to this percentage, rounded to the nearest tenth of a percentage point (e.g., 12.4%). The primary resolution source will be the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 4–8% means the market gives it about 100%.