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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 150-174 | 100% | +68 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <10 | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25-49 | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50-99 | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-149 | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 175-199 | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200-209 | 0% | −13 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 210 or more | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10-24 | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 673d | rpo | 150-174 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,364 | +$14 +1.0% | 10 |
| 673d | 150-174 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $6,454 | +$706 +11% | 10 | |
| 673d | 150-174 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | +$122 +5.3% | 10 | |
| 673d | 150-174 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $3,400 | +$600 +18% | 10 | |
| 673d | 210 or more | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,903 | +$20 +1.1% | 10 | |
| 673d | semi | 200-209 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,619 | +$332 +20% | 10 |
| 673d | 210 or more | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,030 | +$21 +1.0% | 10 | |
| 673d | 25-49 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,216 | +$6 +0.3% | 10 | |
| 673d | 10-24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,936 | +$13 +0.3% | 10 |
This is a market on the number of votes from House Republicans for a government funding bill.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 150-174 means the market gives it about 100%.