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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50M | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <30M | 0% | −100 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30–40M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50–60M | 0% | −87 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60–70M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70–80M | 0% | −100 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80M+ | 0% | −100 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256d | 50–60M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,588 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 256d | 40–50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,441 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 256d | HengOngHuatAh | 40–50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 256d | kungfukid | 40–50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,700 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 256d | hzd | 40–50M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,374 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 256d | 40–50M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,008 | −$4 −0.4% | — | |
| 256d | gmfineshy | 40–50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,256 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 256d | 40–50M | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | −$91 −8.7% | — | |
| 256d | 60–70M | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,452 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 256d | cripes32 fills | 80M+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,146 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 256d | 30–40M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,027 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 256d | <30M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,953 | −$4 −0.2% | — | |
| 256d | <30M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the number of views the 'Bad Bunny's Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show' video (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G6FuWd4wNd8), posted by the NFL's YouTube channel, gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is the NFL's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@NFL/videos), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the NFL's specified video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 40–50M means the market gives it about 100%.