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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35–40M | 100% | +74 pts | +78 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <25M | 0% | −8 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25–30M | 0% | −15 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30–35M | 0% | −45 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40–45M | 0% | −5 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 45–50M | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50–55M | 0% | −2 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 55M+ | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320d | foxymojo2 fills | 30–35M | SellNo>99¢ | $4,013 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 320d |  HolyMoses7 | 35–40M | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,993 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d |  ZhangMuZhi- | 35–40M | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,446 | +$17 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d | firedby21 | 35–40M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,021 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d |  PredictionYogi | 35–40M | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,551 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d |  q19 | 35–40M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,400 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d |  lranon | 35–40M | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,058 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 320d | geraldhew89 | 40–45M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d | lranon | 30–35M | SellNo>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 320d |  slipapa3 fills | 35–40M | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,700 | +$44 +0.4% | 4 |
| 320d | k00pa2 fills | 35–40M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,919 | +$46 +0.5% | 4 |
| 320d | wokerjoesleeper | 40–45M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,229 | +$11 +0.9% | 4 |
| 320d | k00pa | 40–45M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,078 | +$16 +0.5% | 4 |
| 320d |  Lohypo | 35–40M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,083 | −$19 −0.9% | — |
| 320d | slipapa | 30–35M | SellNo>99¢ | $10,954 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 320d | BENFICAA | 35–40M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $17,570 | +$231 +1.3% | 4 |
| 320d | MerchantOfDefi | 35–40M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,473 | +$59 +1.3% | 4 |
| 320d | NKW | 40–45M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$15 +1.2% | 4 |
| 320d | incline | 25–30M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,475 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 320d | incline | 35–40M | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,057 | +$39 +3.7% | 4 |
| 320d | influenz.eth | 40–45M | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$41 +3.8% | 4 |
| 320d | lranon | 45–50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,247 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 320d | 0x9199Ba070C49A78d7b1EB029B5c032 fills | 35–40M | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $8,103 | +$957 +12% | 4 |
| 320d |  nerb4 fills | 35–40M | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $7,615 | +$453 +5.9% | 4 |
| 320d | nerb2 fills | 35–40M | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,917 | −$170 −5.8% | — |
| 320d | exas | 30–35M | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,353 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d | foxymojo | 30–35M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d | geraldhew894 fills | 45–50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $25,000 | +$26 +0.1% | 4 |
| 320d |  Krip. | 40–45M | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | −$58 −5.4% | — |
| 320d | Lohypo | 35–40M | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,019 | +$83 +4.1% | 4 |
| 320d |  team-tylers-van4 fills | 35–40M | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $14,178 | +$1,643 +12% | 4 |
| 321d | Clone78 | 45–50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,976 | +$12 +0.4% | 4 |
| 321d | a3a3a | 50–55M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,197 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | Matelleti | 45–50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,540 | +$16 +0.4% | 4 |
| 321d |  BoringPunter3 fills | 30–35M | BuyNo>99¢ | $60,281 | +$70 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | k00pa2 fills | 45–50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,844 | +$13 +0.5% | 4 |
| 321d | pc9527 | 45–50M | BuyNo100¢ | $1,999 | +$10 +0.5% | 4 |
| 321d | Outrageous-Retreat2 fills | 30–35M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,553 | +$19 +0.5% | 4 |
| 321d | 0x9199Ba070C49A78d7b1EB029B5c03 | 35–40M | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,334 | −$402 −17% | — |
| 321d |  Sona-billa | 35–40M | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,187 | −$209 −18% | — |
| 321d | sunwufanz0 | 30–35M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,366 | +$26 +1.9% | 4 |
| 321d | HollowTeacup | 25–30M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,553 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 321d |  Morbuu2 fills | <25M | SellNo>99¢ | $4,271 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 321d | BoringPunter | 50–55M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,556 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | Matelleti | 25–30M | SellNo>99¢ | $3,501 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 321d | BoringPunter | 25–30M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,669 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | 0x9199Ba070C49A78d7b1EB029B5c032 fills | 40–45M | SellYes46¢ → 0¢ | $4,124 | +$4,124 +100% | — |
| 321d |  JumpingJacks | 40–45M | SellYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,282 | +$1,282 +100% | — |
| 321d |  flow-trader-at-optiver | 50–55M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,006 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | flow-trader-at-optiver | 45–50M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,992 | +$16 +0.8% | 4 |
| 321d | JumpingJacks | 35–40M | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $1,684 | +$2,577 +153% | 5 |
| 321d | flow-trader-at-optiver | 30–35M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,004 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 321d | 0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793e | 40–45M | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $2,626 | −$2,626 −100% | 4 |
| 321d | foxymojo | <25M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,001 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 321d | Bat-man | 45–50M | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | +$92 +8.3% | 4 |
| 321d |  UwO2 fills | 45–50M | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,584 | +$429 +12% | 4 |
| 321d | JigglyPuff2 fills | 35–40M | SellNo59¢ → 0¢ | $4,237 | +$4,237 +100% | — |
| 321d | UwO | 55M+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,157 | +$31 +0.4% | 4 |
| 321d | denjisan | 50–55M | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,232 | −$40 −1.8% | — |
| 321d | JigglyPuff | <25M | SellNo>99¢ | $4,500 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
This market will resolve to according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24hrs after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of if a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 35–40M means the market gives it about 100%.