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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–55m | 100% | +100 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <40m | 0% | −78 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40–45m | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 45–50m | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 55–60m | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60–65m | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 65m+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 488d |  ElonSmash | 50–55m | SellYes>99¢ | $1,049 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 488d |  tunatyler | 60–65m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,544 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 488d | jalako | 50–55m | SellYes>99¢ | $3,297 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 488d | 3r1k | 50–55m | SellYes>99¢ | $3,746 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 488d |  gopfan27 fills | 50–55m | BuyYes>99¢ | $68,630 | +$119 +0.2% | 4 |
| 488d |  noreasapa2 fills | 55–60m | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,286 | +$14 +0.1% | 4 |
| 488d | gopfan22 fills | 45–50m | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,376 | +$20 +0.1% | 4 |
| 488d | gopfan2 | 40–45m | SellNo>99¢ | $23,694 | −$24 −0.1% | — |
| 488d | gopfan22 fills | 55–60m | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,410 | +$53 +0.3% | 4 |
| 488d | gopfan2 | <40m | SellNo>99¢ | $30,630 | −$31 −0.1% | — |
| 488d |  HolyMoses7 | 60–65m | SellNo>99¢ | $3,596 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 488d | rwo | 45–50m | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,229 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 488d | Localkor | 50–55m | SellYes>99¢ | $1,224 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 488d |  Debosnys3 fills | 50–55m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,161 | +$75 +1.0% | 4 |
| 488d | noreasapa | 50–55m | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,992 | +$16 +0.2% | 4 |
| 488d | HolyMoses7 | 60–65m | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,577 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 488d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | 50–55m | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,174 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 488d |  masuclinehat | 55–60m | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,925 | +$75 +0.3% | 4 |
| 488d | 1mperator172 fills | 60–65m | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,977 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 488d | Changgg-8883 fills | 55–60m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $34,477 | +$221 +0.6% | 4 |
| 488d | masuclinehat | 50–55m | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,535 | +$10 +0.4% | 4 |
| 488d |  Anjun3 fills | 65m+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $33,573 | +$48 +0.1% | 4 |
| 488d | gopfan2 | 40–45m | BuyNo>99¢ | $30,832 | +$31 +0.1% | 4 |
| 488d | gopfan2 | <40m | BuyNo>99¢ | $60,062 | +$60 +0.1% | 4 |
| 488d | m20241223 | <40m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,094 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 488d | Changgg-8885 fills | 50–55m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $22,779 | +$219 +1.0% | 4 |
| 488d |  CoffeeLover4 fills | 65m+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $45,452 | +$47 +0.1% | 4 |
| 488d | rwo4 fills | <40m | BuyNo>99¢ | $43,945 | +$49 +0.1% | 4 |
| 488d | cigarettes4 fills | 60–65m | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,137 | +$20 +0.1% | 4 |
| 488d | cigarettes4 fills | 65m+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,137 | +$20 +0.1% | 4 |
| 488d | cigarettes4 fills | <40m | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,140 | +$17 +0.1% | 4 |
| 488d | cigarettes4 fills | 45–50m | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,140 | +$17 +0.1% | 4 |
| 488d | cigarettes4 fills | 40–45m | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,140 | +$17 +0.1% | 4 |
| 488d | cigarettes3 fills | 55–60m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,149 | +$106 +1.0% | 4 |
| 488d | CoffeeLover5 fills | 40–45m | BuyNo>99¢ | $49,546 | +$50 +0.1% | 4 |
| 488d | 1mperator17 | 50–55m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,267 | +$13 +1.0% | 4 |
| 488d | CoffeeLover3 fills | 60–65m | BuyNo>99¢ | $38,238 | +$43 +0.1% | 4 |
| 488d | CoffeeLover2 fills | 45–50m | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,097 | +$23 +0.1% | 4 |
| 488d | EnzoFabi | 45–50m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,689 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 488d | Anjun | <40m | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 488d | Changgg-8883 fills | 60–65m | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,677 | +$31 +0.2% | 4 |
| 488d | Changgg-8882 fills | 45–50m | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,591 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 488d | Changgg-8882 fills | <40m | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,016 | +$30 +0.2% | 4 |
| 488d | Changgg-8883 fills | 40–45m | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,838 | +$48 +0.2% | 4 |
| 488d | 1mperator172 fills | <40m | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,735 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 488d | 1mperator17 | 40–45m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,292 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 488d | Changgg-888 | 65m+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 488d | Anjun | 45–50m | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,646 | +$15 +0.2% | 4 |
| 488d |  Morbuu | <40m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,610 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 488d | rwo | 40–45m | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 488d | HolyMoses72 fills | <40m | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,947 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 488d | HolyMoses73 fills | 45–50m | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,638 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 488d | HolyMoses72 fills | 40–45m | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,947 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 488d | Debosnys2 fills | 45–50m | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,476 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 488d | xbsuwrkfmdl373 fills | 45–50m | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,955 | +$27 +0.2% | 4 |
| 488d | polyfabian5 fills | <40m | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $8,004 | +$6,008 +75% | 4 |
| 488d |  DDDASHEE2 fills | 45–50m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,563 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 488d |  Xplayer | <40m | SellNo>99¢ | $2,202 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 488d | Morbuu | 65m+ | SellNo>99¢ | $2,421 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 489d | Morbuu2 fills | 65m+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,541 | +$18 +0.7% | 4 |
Ivoryuh1 sharesThis market will resolve to according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24hrs after being posted. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "<40m". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel, specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's announced next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 50–55m means the market gives it about 100%.