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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70-80M | 100% | +2 pts | +61 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <50M | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50-60M | 0% | — | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-70M | 0% | 0 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80-90M | 0% | −1 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90-100M | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100M+ | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 412d |  Debosnys | 80-90M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,860 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 412d | Debosnys | 70-80M | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,099 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 413d | Debosnys | 90-100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,209 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 413d | DonaldMusk1 | 70-80M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,832 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 413d |  ElonSmash | 70-80M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | −$7 −0.7% | — |
| 413d | k00pa | 80-90M | BuyNo100¢ | $1,990 | +$10 +0.5% | 4 |
| 413d | cigarettes | 80-90M | BuyNo100¢ | $1,068 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 |
| 413d | k00pa2 fills | 70-80M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,569 | +$38 +0.5% | 4 |
| 413d |  CoffeeDespiser | 90-100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,226 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 413d | Debosnys2 fills | 100M+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,932 | +$25 +0.6% | 4 |
| 413d | Debosnys2 fills | 60-70M | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,038 | +$34 +0.3% | 4 |
| 414d | Debosnys3 fills | <50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,657 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 414d | houdini99 | 70-80M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,469 | +$32 +2.1% | 4 |
| 414d | AZwater | 90-100M | BuyNo100¢ | $2,846 | +$14 +0.5% | 4 |
| 415d | aureli3 fills | <50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,153 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 415d |  spat9116 | 60-70M | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | −$20 −1.9% | — |
| 415d |  RelaySucks | 50-60M | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,811 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 415d | CoffeeDespiser3 fills | 60-70M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,364 | +$53 +0.5% | 4 |
| 416d | yyyyyyyyyye | 60-70M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | +$10 +1.0% | 4 |
| 416d |  bigting | 60-70M | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,261 | −$83 −6.6% | — |
| 416d | alex562 | 50-60M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,896 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 416d | POWERSLAP-EXPERT3 fills | 80-90M | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $4,549 | +$745 +16% | 4 |
| 416d | POWERSLAP-EXPERT | 100M+ | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,403 | −$22 −1.6% | — |
| 416d | POWERSLAP-EXPERT2 fills | 50-60M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,975 | −$41 −1.4% | — |
| 416d | POWERSLAP-EXPERT | 80-90M | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,601 | −$165 −10% | — |
| 416d |  lranon | 100M+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | +$22 +1.1% | 4 |
| 417d | POWERSLAP-EXPERT | 100M+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,748 | +$37 +2.1% | 4 |
| 417d |  Waterfall | 100M+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,620 | +$25 +1.5% | 4 |
| 418d | POWERSLAP-EXPERT | 50-60M | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,015 | +$174 +5.8% | 4 |
This market will resolve to according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "<50m". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 70-80M means the market gives it about 100%.