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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Democratic | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Progressive Conservative | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liberal | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Green | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 603d | Legume | New Democratic | SellYes>99¢ | $2,577 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 603d |  dududududu | New Democratic | SellYes>99¢ | $2,158 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 603d | michaelB | New Democratic | SellYes>99¢ | $1,266 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 603d |  Flipadelphia2 fills | New Democratic | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $39,181 | +$5,537 +14% | 12 |
| 603d | rabs3 fills | New Democratic | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $58,431 | +$2,265 +3.9% | 10 |
| 603d | simpleman | New Democratic | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$122 +2.0% | 10 |
| 603d | rabs2 fills | Liberal | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $25,014 | +$1,159 +4.6% | 10 |
| 603d | Saruman77 | New Democratic | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,080 | +$231 +11% | 10 |
| 603d | Snoorrason | Green | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 603d | Legume | New Democratic | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $2,089 | +$490 +23% | 10 |
| 603d | rabs | Liberal | BuyYes74¢ → 0¢ | $1,064 | −$1,064 −100% | 10 |
| 604d |  MotherTheresa | Progressive Conservative | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,145 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 604d | TexMexTRex2 fills | Liberal | SellYes74¢ → 0¢ | $3,442 | +$3,442 +100% | — |
| 605d | cigarettes | Green | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,179 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 605d | Jmoud4 fills | Liberal | BuyYes78¢ → 0¢ | $5,500 | −$5,500 −100% | 14 |
| 605d | Jmoud | Liberal | SellYes64¢ → 0¢ | $4,816 | +$4,816 +100% | — |
| 606d | Snoorrason | Progressive Conservative | SellNo>99¢ | $3,120 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 606d | JishWa | New Democratic | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 14 |
| 607d | Retired-Davis | New Democratic | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $2,811 | −$2,811 −100% | 14 |
| 607d | TexMexTRex | Liberal | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 14 |
| 609d | Snoorrason | Progressive Conservative | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,349 | +$14 +1.0% | 10 |
The 2025 Ontario parliamentary elections are scheduled to take place on February 27, 2025 to elect the 44th Parliament of Ontario. This market will resolve to the political party that controls the second most seats in the 44th Parliament of Ontario as a result of the upcoming election. If voting in the next Ontario parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the second most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ontario government (e.g. via https://results.elections.on.ca/en/results-overview).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for New Democratic means the market gives it about 100%.