Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 475d | OpenAI announces development of glasses/headset before August? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,236 | +$25 +2.0% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI, Sam Altman, or an official representative of the company publicly announces that it is actively developing smart glasses, a virtual reality (VR) headset, an augmented reality (AR) headset, or any similar wearable consumer hardware device by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement must clearly indicate that the product is in development, planned, or being worked on internally or in collaboration with a partner (e.g. Jony Ive or LoveFrom). The announcement must mention a concrete form factor or category (e.g. “glasses,” “AR headset,” “wearable device,” etc.) related to eyewear or head-mounted consumer hardware. General statements about interest in hardware, ambient computing, or non-specific wearable concepts will not be sufficient The primary resolution source will be official information from OpenAI, Sam Altman, or an official representative, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.