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Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 480d | nghiapham2 fills | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,468 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 490d | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,599 | −$37 −2.3% | — | |
| 503d | CrashOverride955 fills | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $30,600 | +$1,188 +3.9% | 20 |
| 507d | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,510 | +$16 +1.1% | 20 | |
| 509d | mitraa3 fills | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,393 | +$125 +3.7% | 20 |
| 543d | Vinivi | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,922 | −$77 −4.0% | — |
| 571d | Vinivi | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,853 | +$98 +5.3% | 20 |
| 635d | sean121 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $6,368 | −$905 −14% | — |
| 640d | sean1212 fills | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $6,500 | +$772 +12% | 20 |
| 652d | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,875 | +$431 +11% | 20 | |
| 656d | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July? | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,201 | −$1,201 −100% | 21 | |
| 659d | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July? | BuyYes11¢ → 0¢ | $1,210 | −$1,210 −100% | 21 | |
| 661d | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | +$105 +9.9% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by June 30, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.