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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +42 pts | +55 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 388d | wisser | OpenAI social app in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,908 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 388d |  swimmingtoriches | OpenAI social app in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,027 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 388d | Anonretard | OpenAI social app in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,045 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 388d |  Car | OpenAI social app in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,988 | +$12 +0.4% | 4 |
| 388d | cqs | OpenAI social app in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,868 | +$25 +0.6% | 4 |
| 388d | mrbutton | OpenAI social app in 2025? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,840 | −$43 −1.1% | — |
| 388d |  tourists7 fills | OpenAI social app in 2025? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $12,914 | +$702 +5.4% | 4 |
| 388d |  Frosen | OpenAI social app in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,113 | +$42 +1.0% | 4 |
| 389d | FunnyMonkey78 | OpenAI social app in 2025? | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,443 | −$587 −41% | — |
| 390d | FunnyMonkey78 | OpenAI social app in 2025? | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$628 +42% | 4 |
| 390d | fort123123 | OpenAI social app in 2025? | SellNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,042 | +$1,042 +100% | — |
| 392d | mrbutton | OpenAI social app in 2025? | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $2,666 | +$1,217 +46% | 4 |
| 393d | acascuseme4 fills | OpenAI social app in 2025? | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $6,300 | +$4,697 +75% | 4 |
| 417d |  macrosteaks | OpenAI social app in 2025? | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $1,076 | −$1,076 −100% | 4 |
| 442d |  TeemuPukki | OpenAI social app in 2025? | SellYes45¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | −$1,388 −122% | — |
| 552d | Othrios | OpenAI social app in 2025? | SellYes40¢ → 100¢ | $11,369 | −$17,054 −150% | — |
| 552d | Oryxen | OpenAI social app in 2025? | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $17,338 | −$17,338 −100% | 4 |
ChironCrossing5,142 shares
FridayNight2,550 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a social iOS app owned by OpenAI is available for installation on the US iOS app store by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pre-Order does not satisfy the market conditions. A "social app" refers to an iOS application whose primary function is facilitating social interaction between users, such as messaging, content sharing, or community engagement. The primary resolution source will be the US iOS app store, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.