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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Perfect Neighbor | 100% | +18 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cutting Through Rocks | 100% | +73 pts | +72 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 2000 Meters to Andriivka | 0% | −90 pts | −93 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Apocalypse in the Tropics | 0% | −68 pts | −67 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mr. Nobody Against Putin | 100% | +65 pts | +74 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk | 0% | −38 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Come See Me in the Good Light | 100% | +57 pts | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Orwell: 2+2=5 | 0% | −44 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Architecton | 0% | −4 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Endless Cookie | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Selena y Los Dinos | 0% | −7 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Deaf President Now! | 0% | −19 pts | −19 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 275d | 11122 | Mr. Nobody Against Putin | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,951 | +$61 +1.0% | 20 |
| 311d |  Birdof | Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,785 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 311d | Lean-Pelt | Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 311d | yougotme | Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,493 | +$19 +0.2% | 20 |
| 311d | yougotme | Deaf President Now! | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,430 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 311d | yougotme | Orwell: 2+2=5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,948 | +$20 +0.2% | 20 |
| 311d | yougotme | Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,747 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 311d | yougotme | Endless Cookie | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,914 | +$18 +0.1% | 20 |
| 311d | yougotme | Architecton | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,319 | +$19 +0.1% | 20 |
| 311d | yougotme | Selena y Los Dinos | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,651 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 311d |  devin.lawson.77 | Orwell: 2+2=5 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,097 | +$41 +1.0% | 20 |
| 312d | devin.lawson.77 | Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,216 | +$124 +1.0% | 20 |
| 312d | AlansWorld182 | Orwell: 2+2=5 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,623 | +$57 +1.0% | 20 |
| 312d | AlansWorld182 | Deaf President Now! | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | +$85 +7.7% | 20 |
| 312d | errantsloth3 | Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,419 | +$159 +1.9% | 20 |
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for The Perfect Neighbor means the market gives it about 100%.