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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinners | 100% | — | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sentimental Value | 0% | −1 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| A House of Dynamite | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marty Supreme | 0% | +1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| It Was Just an Accident | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jay Kelly | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rental Family | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Secret Agent | 0% | −3 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Weapons | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| After the Hunt | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Roofman | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Father Mother Sister Brother | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sorry Baby | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| If I Had Legs I'd Kick You | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Smashing Machine | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Blue Moon | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Movie B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 221d | gotozer0 | Sinners | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 221d | peepeepooppoop | Sentimental Value | SellNo>99¢ | $1,695 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 221d | peepeepooppoop | Sinners | SellYes>99¢ | $2,632 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 221d | HappyFamily | Sinners | SellYes>99¢ | $1,115 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 221d |  Cerco | Sinners | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,158 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 221d | meropi | Sinners | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,393 | +$13 +0.3% | 20 |
| 221d | HappyFamily | Sinners | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | +$45 +4.2% | 20 |
| 221d | denialCigar | Sinners | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,356 | +$56 +4.2% | 20 |
| 222d | gravity889 | It Was Just an Accident | SellNo100¢ | $1,295 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 222d |  norrisfan | Sinners | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,414 | +$309 +5.7% | 20 |
| 222d |  DuneMentat2 fills | Sinners | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,008 | +$210 +5.2% | 21 |
| 222d | type358 | It Was Just an Accident | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 222d | 0330330333 fills | Blue Moon | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,006 | +$37 +0.3% | 20 |
| 222d | lawsuit-foil-toy | Blue Moon | SellNo>99¢ | $1,600 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 222d | gaince81 | Blue Moon | SellNo>99¢ | $1,330 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 222d | Fire34 | Blue Moon | SellNo>99¢ | $1,450 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 222d | lawsuit-foil-toy | Blue Moon | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,864 | +$15 +0.8% | 20 |
| 222d | gaince81 | Blue Moon | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,328 | +$11 +0.8% | 20 |
| 222d | pencilnh45 | Sinners | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | +$47 +4.1% | 20 |
| 222d | sell.wheel.twelve | Sinners | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,684 | +$70 +4.2% | 20 |
| 222d | lady985 | Sentimental Value | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,638 | −$47 −2.9% | — |
| 222d | trick-ski | Sentimental Value | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,239 | +$34 +2.8% | 20 |
| 222d | creek029 | It Was Just an Accident | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,247 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 222d | legal-reopen-empower | It Was Just an Accident | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,356 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 222d | sciencefv92 | It Was Just an Accident | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,541 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 222d | trick-ski | It Was Just an Accident | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,266 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 222d | sell.wheel.twelve | It Was Just an Accident | BuyNo100¢ | $1,835 | +$9 +0.5% | 20 |
| 222d | sciencefv92 | It Was Just an Accident | BuyNo100¢ | $1,136 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 222d | creek029 | It Was Just an Accident | BuyNo100¢ | $1,249 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 222d | legal-reopen-empower | It Was Just an Accident | BuyNo100¢ | $1,357 | +$7 +0.5% | 20 |
| 222d | boost6099 | Sentimental Value | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | −$34 −2.9% | — |
| 222d | Fire34 | Sentimental Value | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,308 | −$38 −2.9% | — |
| 222d | Weapon414 | Sentimental Value | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,330 | −$38 −2.9% | — |
| 222d | carpetBelt | Sentimental Value | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,291 | −$37 −2.9% | — |
| 222d | DuneMentat | Sentimental Value | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,934 | +$75 +2.6% | 20 |
| 222d | Weapon414 | Sentimental Value | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,334 | +$34 +2.6% | 20 |
| 222d | toy-sick-hockey | It Was Just an Accident | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,526 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 222d | vitorfliii2 fills | Sinners | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,246 | +$97 +4.3% | 20 |
| 223d | Nobetfocus | Sinners | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,802 | +$188 +4.9% | 22 |
| 226d | redvinny2 fills | Sinners | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,320 | −$246 −5.7% | — |
| 234d |  macrosteaks | Sinners | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,046 | −$194 −6.4% | — |
| 236d | EscalateFund | Sinners | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,942 | +$192 +9.9% | 20 |
| 254d | redvinny | Sinners | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,806 | +$538 +19% | 20 |
| 270d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Rental Family | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 272d |  ittgnito | Rental Family | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,035 | +$18 +0.9% | 20 |
| 274d | 11122 | Rental Family | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,951 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d |  ZhangMuZhi.. | Roofman | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,262 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | ZhangMuZhi.. | Weapons | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,567 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | ZhangMuZhi.. | After the Hunt | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,114 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | zxc3682 fills | If I Had Legs I'd Kick You | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,513 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d |  Rasalgethi | Rental Family | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,268 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 274d | zxc368 | Weapons | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 274d | zxc368 | The Smashing Machine | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | zxc368 | A House of Dynamite | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | zxc368 | Jay Kelly | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | zxc368 | Sorry Baby | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | zxc368 | The Secret Agent | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | zxc368 | After the Hunt | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | zxc368 | Roofman | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | zxc368 | Father Mother Sister Brother | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
WickedWisdom2713 sharesThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Sinners means the market gives it about 100%.