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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frankenstein | 100% | +3 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wicked: For Good | 0% | −15 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sinners | 0% | 0 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hamnet | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Avatar: Fire and Ash | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marty Supreme | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| One Battle After Another | 0% | 0 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Phoenician Scheme | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bugonia | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Fantastic Four: First Steps | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wake Up Dead Man | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nouvelle Vague | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hedda | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kiss of the Spider Woman | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 221d | Trustinghorse | Frankenstein | SellYes>99¢ | $13,431 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | Usdd-704 | Frankenstein | SellYes>99¢ | $1,487 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | Realsandman | Frankenstein | SellYes>99¢ | $2,283 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | gotozer0 | Frankenstein | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 222d |  neetbets2 fills | Frankenstein | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,367 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 222d |  praktor | Frankenstein | SellYes>99¢ | $46,887 | −$47 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | HappyFamily | Frankenstein | SellYes>99¢ | $1,241 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | Edible-RoadwayNew account | Frankenstein | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 222d | 3SPRRRINTER | Hamnet | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 222d | HappyFamily | Frankenstein | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | +$128 +11% | 20 |
| 222d | Paffmon | Frankenstein | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | +$67 +5.8% | 20 |
| 222d | InsiderrrZ | Frankenstein | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | +$103 +8.9% | 20 |
| 274d |  wish- | Hedda | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,066 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | wish- | Nouvelle Vague | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,478 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | wish- | Wake Up Dead Man | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,612 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | wish- | Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,645 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | wish- | Wicked: For Good | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,138 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | Secondary-Coevolution2 fills | Hamnet | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,382 | +$13 +0.4% | 20 |
| 274d | zxc368 | Avatar: Fire and Ash | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,198 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | zxc368 | The Phoenician Scheme | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | zxc368 | Wicked: For Good | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d |  AgricultureSecretary | Bugonia | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,910 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | AgricultureSecretary | Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,267 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 274d | AgricultureSecretary | Nouvelle Vague | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,111 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 274d | AgricultureSecretary | Avatar: Fire and Ash | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,159 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 274d | 11122 | One Battle After Another | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 20 |
| 274d | 11122 | Bugonia | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,396 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 283d | dgrg45 | Wicked: For Good | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,573 | +$278 +18% | 20 |
| 283d | dfggdrgg433 | Wicked: For Good | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,591 | +$259 +16% | 20 |
| 283d | dfggh354 | Wicked: For Good | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,573 | +$278 +18% | 20 |
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Production Design. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Production Design when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Frankenstein means the market gives it about 100%.