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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikey Madison – "Anora" | 100% | +72 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cynthia Erivo – "Wicked" | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Karla Sofía Gascón – "Emilia Pérez" | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Demi Moore – "The Substance" | 0% | −62 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernanda Torres – "I'm Still Here" | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Actress A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 595d | PrinceHal | Demi Moore – "The Substance" | SellNo>99¢ | $8,524 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 595d | PrinceHal | Mikey Madison – "Anora" | SellYes>99¢ | $9,282 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 595d | Diagramuse | Mikey Madison – "Anora" | SellYes>99¢ | $1,699 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 595d | Megatron747 | Mikey Madison – "Anora" | SellYes>99¢ | $1,139 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 595d | Cryptonite101 | Mikey Madison – "Anora" | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,001 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 595d | rpo | Fernanda Torres – "I'm Still Here" | SellNo>99¢ | $1,125 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 595d |  AgricultureSecretary | Demi Moore – "The Substance" | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $4,050 | +$550 +14% | 20 |
| 595d | rpo | Fernanda Torres – "I'm Still Here" | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | +$45 +4.2% | 20 |
| 595d | AgricultureSecretary | Mikey Madison – "Anora" | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,970 | +$299 +15% | 20 |
| 595d | Burner123 | Demi Moore – "The Substance" | BuyYes88¢ → 0¢ | $1,954 | −$1,954 −100% | 20 |
| 595d | gobears07 - 7413 | Demi Moore – "The Substance" | BuyYes78¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 595d | JewHammer3 fills | Demi Moore – "The Substance" | BuyYes66¢ → 0¢ | $5,505 | −$5,505 −100% | 20 |
| 595d | cschwa516 | Demi Moore – "The Substance" | BuyYes62¢ → 0¢ | $1,022 | −$1,022 −100% | 20 |
| 596d |  Cajetan2 fills | Cynthia Erivo – "Wicked" | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,308 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 596d | Cajetan2 fills | Karla Sofía Gascón – "Emilia Pérez" | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,310 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 596d | janglinjack | Demi Moore – "The Substance" | BuyYes68¢ → 0¢ | $1,057 | −$1,057 −100% | 20 |
| 596d | GARTZ | Demi Moore – "The Substance" | BuyYes71¢ → 0¢ | $6,270 | −$6,270 −100% | 20 |
| 596d | milouf2 fills | Demi Moore – "The Substance" | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $5,315 | −$5,315 −100% | 22 |
| 596d | simian002 | Cynthia Erivo – "Wicked" | SellNo>99¢ | $1,184 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 596d | simian002 | Cynthia Erivo – "Wicked" | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,185 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 596d | Spikey90 | Demi Moore – "The Substance" | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $1,055 | −$1,055 −100% | 30 |
| 597d | marzec | Cynthia Erivo – "Wicked" | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,536 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 |
| 597d | unoo | Karla Sofía Gascón – "Emilia Pérez" | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,155 | +$12 +0.3% | 20 |
| 597d | RiskOn | Demi Moore – "The Substance" | BuyYes66¢ → 0¢ | $1,919 | −$1,919 −100% | 28 |
| 597d | JorgeMaia | Karla Sofía Gascón – "Emilia Pérez" | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,132 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 597d | Predictandbreathe | Demi Moore – "The Substance" | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $1,279 | −$1,279 −100% | 28 |
| 598d | Shameless-Decadence | Demi Moore – "The Substance" | BuyYes62¢ → 0¢ | $1,380 | −$1,380 −100% | 28 |
| 598d | tiburon | Mikey Madison – "Anora" | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $1,410 | −$1,410 −100% | 25 |
| 598d | cigarettes | Karla Sofía Gascón – "Emilia Pérez" | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,565 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 598d | cigarettes | Mikey Madison – "Anora" | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $1,068 | −$1,068 −100% | 25 |
| 598d | cigarettes | Cynthia Erivo – "Wicked" | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,564 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 598d |  Harmonicca | Demi Moore – "The Substance" | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $1,386 | −$1,386 −100% | 25 |
| 598d | cigarettes | Fernanda Torres – "I'm Still Here" | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | +$71 +4.7% | 21 |
| 598d | Cajetan | Fernanda Torres – "I'm Still Here" | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,195 | +$55 +4.6% | 21 |
| 600d | elPolloLoco | Karla Sofía Gascón – "Emilia Pérez" | SellNo>99¢ | $1,549 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 600d | chan000 | Fernanda Torres – "I'm Still Here" | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,178 | +$90 +7.6% | 20 |
| 602d | JorgeMaia | Fernanda Torres – "I'm Still Here" | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | +$64 +6.3% | 20 |
| 604d |  just.some.guy | Mikey Madison – "Anora" | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | +$1,820 +123% | 20 |
| 605d | just.some.guy | Demi Moore – "The Substance" | SellYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,444 | +$1,444 +100% | — |
| 607d | Snoorrason | Demi Moore – "The Substance" | SellNo48¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | −$1,079 −108% | — |
| 607d | Snoorrason | Mikey Madison – "Anora" | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | +$1,648 +150% | 20 |
| 609d | just.some.guy | Demi Moore – "The Substance" | BuyYes59¢ → 0¢ | $1,353 | −$1,353 −100% | 20 |
| 610d | tiburon | Fernanda Torres – "I'm Still Here" | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,716 | +$147 +8.5% | 20 |
| 618d | affs20791 | Demi Moore – "The Substance" | BuyYes74¢ → 0¢ | $1,407 | −$1,407 −100% | 20 |
| 618d |  masnjr | Demi Moore – "The Substance" | BuyYes74¢ → 0¢ | $1,480 | −$1,480 −100% | 20 |
| 626d | elPolloLoco2 fills | Cynthia Erivo – "Wicked" | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,811 | −$50 −1.3% | — |
| 627d | PrinceHal | Karla Sofía Gascón – "Emilia Pérez" | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,370 | −$143 −4.2% | — |
| 630d | PrinceHal | Mikey Madison – "Anora" | BuyYes25¢ → 100¢ | $1,153 | +$3,536 +307% | 21 |
| 631d | RobXK | Mikey Madison – "Anora" | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $3,068 | −$3,068 −100% | 20 |
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23. This market will resolve according to the actress who wins the Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Mikey Madison – "Anora" means the market gives it about 100%.