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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100M | 100% | +15 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| $200M | 100% | +74 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| $600M | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $500M | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $300M | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $900M | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $800M | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $400M | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $1B | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $700M | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 279d |  Cloverince | $200M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,462 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 279d |  Asperatus | $200M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,767 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 280d | yougotme2 fills | $200M | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,300 | +$16 +0.2% | 2 |
| 280d | yougotme | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,815 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | yougotme | $600M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,532 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d |  isunou | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,758 | +$71 +0.4% | 2 |
| 280d |  bamesjond | $100M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,348 | −$16 −1.2% | — |
| 280d | plantostar | $100M | SellYes100¢ | $1,007 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 280d | bamesjond | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,359 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 280d | cripes3 | $100M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,038 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 280d | Flancho | $900M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,333 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | ExDeus2 fills | $100M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,888 | +$31 +1.1% | 2 |
| 280d |  goggler | $100M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,393 | −$18 −1.3% | — |
| 281d | Mld | $800M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,034 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 281d | franklineth | $900M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,227 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 281d | kevin-airdrop | $200M | BuyNo98¢ → 0¢ | $1,379 | −$1,379 −100% | 2 |
| 281d | kevin-airdrop | $400M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,610 | +$10 +0.6% | 2 |
| 281d | Adelius | $300M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 281d | mustery | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,117 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Owlto's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Owlto (https://x.com/Owlto_Finance) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $100M means the market gives it about 100%.