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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 14 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| October 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 30 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 327d |  MUFAi | November 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,296 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 332d | abuzzin | December 31 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$117 +9.9% | 20 |
| 342d |  Allinnothing | November 14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,135 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 342d |  Ahpo | November 14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,019 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 343d | Ahpo | November 14 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,191 | −$20 −0.9% | — |
| 346d | 5hundredx | November 14 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,788 | +$75 +4.2% | 20 |
| 357d |  elmcap2 | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,726 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 358d |  risk-manager | October 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,092 | +$41 +1.0% | 20 |
| 372d | theGodFather101 | October 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,359 | +$72 +5.3% | 20 |
RenDeHero600 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Indian territory by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Pakistani military forces that impact Indian territory (e.g., if a Pakistani missile or drone hits a target within India’s borders, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Indian territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Indian soil or causes damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Pakistani ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 0%.