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Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 653d |  Slowroasted3 fills | Palisades wildfire burns 10,000 acres by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,362 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 653d | Ordon | Palisades wildfire burns 10,000 acres by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,597 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 653d |  Dropper3 fills | Palisades wildfire burns 10,000 acres by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,003 | +$40 +0.2% | 4 |
| 653d |  FrancisSP8 | Palisades wildfire burns 10,000 acres by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,817 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 653d |  syncope | Palisades wildfire burns 10,000 acres by Friday? | BuyYes100¢ | $2,808 | +$14 +0.5% | 4 |
| 653d | bko | Palisades wildfire burns 10,000 acres by Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | +$7 +0.6% | 4 |
| 653d |  DancingonMarshmellos | Palisades wildfire burns 10,000 acres by Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$14 +1.0% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns 10,000 or more acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.